Resolution reportWednesday, May 6, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
73%
404 right146 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 2,134
- No consensus
- 1,584
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 705 provider closure; 1,429 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 46%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$8.93
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$7.18
- AeanvanezygvLast tradedNo-$239.11
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 16
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$59.69
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$38.54
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$17.61
- Called
- Division One
- Won
- Division One
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDivision One+$2,153.21
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedDivision One+$48.07
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedDivision One+$13.33
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$2,697.19
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$109.35
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$79.19
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$949.41
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$17.73
- AQQQ9000Last tradedDown+$179.51
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 93%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$28.62
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$19.21
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp$0
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$4.30
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$21.22
- Bkarenchik1Last tradedDown+$171.46
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$27.57
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$25.90
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$15.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$207.83
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$20.68
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$2.64
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$17.80
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$3.28
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$142.70
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 38%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$2.63
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$2.53
- B0x3f82…24bfLast tradedDown+$107.10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 15
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$131.29
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown-$30.46
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$11.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$985.96
- AMrClaude11Last tradedUnder+$997.37
- Bus291Last tradedOver-$1,687.31
- Called
- Atreides
- Won
- Atreides
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedAtreides+$233.29
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedAtreides+$128.76
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedAtreides+$399.57
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes-$276.73
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$86.75
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$76.95
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGamblingOdysseyLast tradedYes+$460.62
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes+$227.02
- SantecLast tradedYes+$30
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$62.80
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$2.81
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$1.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 93%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$64.44
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$24.13
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$23.36
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$31.23
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$21.57
- Amm4kerLast tradedUnder-$158.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$76.71
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$62.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$45.65
- Called
- KT Wiz
- Won
- KT Wiz
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedSSG Landers-$471.78
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedKT Wiz+$71.84
- ADimkov27Last tradedKT Wiz+$98.14
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$12.95
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.63
- AElated-LentilLast tradedNo+$0.43
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$57.64
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$16.94
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$14.08
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$181.09
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$37.85
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$18.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sgopfan2Last tradedYes+$2,148.61
- AmountaindewdLast tradedYes+$215
- ASlow-MinuteLast tradedYes+$1.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 14
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$78.17
- ARailbirdLast tradedNo+$9.10
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedNo+$0.70
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$310.17
- SgollazaLast tradedOver+$87.81
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$54.47
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes-$887.92
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$206.71
- AValiBBLast tradedYes-$339.68
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACERTovaLast tradedDown+$279.53
- BLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$642.75
- Bbigbrr0Last tradedUp-$495.62
- Called
- illwill
- Won
- 100 Thieves
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDonkooLast tradedillwill-$173.47
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedillwill-$63.14
- AeanvanezygvLast traded100 Thieves+$122.93
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$180.11
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$121.61
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnder-$90.19
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$44.45
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$14.07
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$3.28
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedYes+$345.94
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$97.58
- APredictionYogiLast tradedYes+$3
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$13.42
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$11.28
- AsuspiciouslyLuckyLast tradedDown+$37.58
- Called
- Ilbirs eSports
- Won
- Ilbirs eSports
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedIlbirs eSports+$20.89
- AoneheadedtigerLast tradedDOGSENT-$130
- Afatdog-012Last tradedIlbirs eSports+$90.58
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedYes-$755.94
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$47.32
- ACannaeLast tradedNo+$105.23
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$47.56
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$30.93
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$24.45
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$191.19
- ACannaeLast tradedOver+$132.41
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedOver+$128.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$77.77
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedNo+$0.59
- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedNo+$0.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 13
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$3.96
- AQQQ9000Last tradedUp+$38.02
- ACERTovaLast tradedUp+$37.97
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$843.60
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$128.22
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder-$86.81
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$1,438.79
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$50.69
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$41.84
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$243.82
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedYes+$64.68
- Stopogrupo1Last tradedYes+$13.61
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 16%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$63.41
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$48.98
- ATEUPAIXDLast tradedOver+$65.44
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$92.84
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$19.31
- SspyGoodLuck77Last tradedOver+$3.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 12
- Confidence
- 22%
1,548 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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