Resolution reportThursday, May 7, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
72%
291 right112 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 1,382
- No consensus
- 979
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 426 provider closure; 956 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 100
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$3,395.98
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo-$1,988.83
- SAvocadosFromMexicoLast tradedYes+$1,628.73
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 85
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SS-WorksLast tradedNo+$410.78
- SleegunnerLast tradedNo+$259.42
- SGollumGekkoLast tradedNo+$157.29
- Called
- Golden Knights
- Won
- Golden Knights
- Profitable wallets
- 82
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SweflyhighLast tradedGolden Knights+$29,300.16
- SRN1Last tradedAvalanche-$4,224.22
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedGolden Knights+$1,400
- Called
- FURIA Esports
- Won
- FURIA Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 80
- Confidence
- 35%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedFURIA Esports+$3,672.92
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedFURIA Esports+$3,033.06
- SjohnbasterLast tradedFURIA Esports+$925.87
- Called
- Team Vitality
- Won
- Team Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 77
- Confidence
- 5%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedSK Gaming-$4,852.42
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedSK Gaming-$2,943.57
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedTeam Vitality+$2,555.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 66
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$239.99
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$175.13
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$110.43
- Called
- Tampa Bay Rays
- Won
- Pittsburgh Pirates
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedTampa Bay Rays-$1,978.60
- Ssportmaster777Last tradedPittsburgh Pirates+$1,835.68
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedTampa Bay Rays-$754.76
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 64
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$161.66
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$51.10
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$35.29
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 61
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$134.70
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$118.12
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$94.89
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 59
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$793.62
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$110.29
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$43.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$81.85
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$48.31
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp+$46.67
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 58
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$220.33
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$57.67
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$52.82
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$190.46
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$177.28
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$74.71
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 57
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$252.46
- S0x0a2c53bd218c04da996cf96490e14-f3dfb9bc2Last tradedDown+$88.05
- SgabigolLast tradedDown+$85.93
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 56
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$179.37
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$124.25
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$90.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 55
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$282.50
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$112.71
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$56.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 54
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$936.06
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$228.85
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$135.25
- Called
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Won
- Toronto Blue Jays
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMinnesota Twins-$15,839.56
- ScurieLast tradedToronto Blue Jays+$3,366.75
- SRN1Last tradedToronto Blue Jays+$1,902.10
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 52
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$37.56
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$29.20
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$27.95
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$168.82
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$94.14
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$88.14
- Called
- RED Canids
- Won
- FURIA Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 51
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedRED Canids-$1,394.91
- SDearest-UrgeLast tradedRED Canids-$1,350.98
- SjohnbasterLast tradedFURIA Esports+$1,302.13
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 50
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedNo+$2,849.27
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$1,674.38
- SgollazaLast tradedNo+$1,337.70
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 48
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$48.36
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$37.49
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$27.87
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 47
- Confidence
- 15%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$1,193.59
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$588.77
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp-$370.15
- Called
- SPARTA
- Won
- SPARTA
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedfnatic-$8,093.91
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedSPARTA+$264.42
- SBagwell306Last tradedfnatic-$110
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$1,235.78
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$77.83
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$77.27
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 46
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp+$73.19
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$59.96
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedUp+$43.03
- Called
- Chicago Cubs
- Won
- Chicago Cubs
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago Cubs+$25,159.08
- SBagwell306Last tradedChicago Cubs+$982
- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedChicago Cubs+$600
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 45
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$143.20
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$28.03
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$18.90
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$341.87
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$26.50
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$25.93
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$270.45
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$33.20
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$33.12
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$71.91
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$17.02
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$15.17
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$18.48
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown-$11.68
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown-$11.46
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$56.81
- SSharky6999Last tradedDown+$14.62
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$13.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$60.77
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$28.81
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$28.52
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$359.07
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$59.29
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$26.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 2%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$353.64
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$244.79
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$122.49
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$50.31
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$28.20
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$9.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 52%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$163.35
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$23.90
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$12.96
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$134.10
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$55.52
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$34.88
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$14.66
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$13.64
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedDown+$11.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$21.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$20.87
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedUp-$16.95
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$557.83
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp-$32.65
- SgabigolLast tradedUp-$31.21
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 19%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$270.52
- SMinor-ComplementLast tradedDown+$134.52
- SjustdanceLast tradedDown+$101.22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$77.03
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$28.65
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$11.32
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$207.81
- SPBot-6Last tradedUp-$45.96
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$8.27
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$788.45
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown+$53.60
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown+$41.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$42.60
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp-$17.67
- SasdaefefLast tradedDown+$16
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$104.71
- SasdaefefLast tradedUp+$38.62
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$5.01
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$1,065.56
- SPBot-6Last tradedDown-$113.53
- SDark-CrawdadLast tradedDown-$92.52
946 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 4,785 more positions across 378 markets on this day.
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