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Metrics

Risk-adjusted return

Risk-adjusted return is any measure of profit that accounts for the risk taken to earn it. Raw return hides that: 50% earned through an 80% drawdown is a different record from 30% earned with a 10% maximum drawdown. The common measures are the Sharpe ratio (return per unit of total volatility), the Sortino ratio (per unit of downside volatility), and the Calmar ratio (per unit of maximum drawdown). 0xinsider's grade ranks on realized profit instead; drawdown, equity smoothness, and the Sortino ratio sit in its 5% tie-breaker, and a drawdown floor gates the S and A grades.

What risk-adjusted return means

Risk-adjusted return is a family of metrics. Each member divides return by a different definition of risk, and that choice decides what the metric rewards.

Sharpe divides by total volatility. Sortino divides by downside volatility only. Calmar divides by the worst peak-to-trough decline. Each answers a different question about the same profit curve.

Why raw return keeps winning anyway

Public leaderboards rank on profit because profit is easy to compute and impossible to argue with. It is also the number a single oversized winning position can produce, which is why the top of an unadjusted board tends to churn.

Risk adjustment is what makes past performance carry any information about the next month. A trader who earned 25% with an 8% worst decline has shown something repeatable; one who earned 40% through a 30% decline has shown they were willing to hold on.

Where 0xinsider uses risk-adjusted return

A trader grade summarizes historical performance. Risk metrics provide the context behind the return: volatility, downside variability and peak-to-trough losses answer different questions. Read them alongside profit, the resolved-market count and current exposure; no historical rating guarantees the next result.

Worked example

Trader A: +40% return, 30% max drawdown, Sharpe 1.2. Trader B: +25% return, 8% max drawdown, Sharpe 2.5. Raw return favors A; risk-adjusted return favors B. Sized to the same risk, B earns more.

Risk-adjusted return on 0xinsider

Methodology

How to read trader grades alongside profit, risk and sample size.

Live feed

Risk-adjusted return on live data

The leaderboard ranks S, A, and B wallets, graded mostly on realized profit. The live feed lists large Polymarket trades as they fill on Pro, and 24 hours later without it.

Picks and market activity

Read the published picks or follow large trades. The free feed runs 24 hours behind; Pro has no delay.