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Calmar ratio

The Calmar ratio is annualized return divided by max drawdown over the same period. The ratio says how much return a trader got for the worst stretch they endured. A high Calmar means strong returns without a deep drawdown. Because it is a ratio, it compares traders who run at different sizes.

Formula

Calmar = annualized return / max drawdown

Both terms cover the same period. Annualizing a sample shorter than a year inflates the numerator.

How to read a Calmar ratio

Calmar asks how much return a trader produced for the worst decline they endured. A ratio of 3.0 means three dollars of annual return for every dollar of peak-to-trough loss.

It differs from Sharpe in the denominator: Sharpe divides by typical volatility, Calmar divides by the single worst stretch. A trader with modest day-to-day swings and one catastrophic month looks fine on Sharpe and poor on Calmar.

The annualization problem

Calmar was written for multi-year fund records. Most prediction-market traders have months, not years, and scaling a 2-month return up to an annual figure multiplies whatever luck was in the sample.

Treat an annualized Calmar on a short record as a ranking aid inside one time window, never as a forecast. If the underlying period is not stated next to the number, the number is not readable.

How the Calmar ratio relates to the grade

0xinsider computes a Calmar ratio for each wallet, but it appears only in the Pro data export, not on the profile. Reading max drawdown next to realized P&L on a profile gives you the comparison Calmar compresses, without the annualization.

Worked example

Annualized return: $18,000. Max drawdown: $6,000. Calmar = 18000 / 6000 = 3.0. For every dollar of max drawdown, this trader made $3 a year.

Calmar = annual return / max drawdown = $18K / $6K
= 3.0 ($3 a year per $1 of max drawdown)

Calmar ratio on 0xinsider

Trader analytics

The drawdown series and cumulative P&L, the two inputs Calmar compresses into one number.

Live feed

Calmar ratio on live data

The leaderboard ranks S, A, and B wallets, graded mostly on realized profit. The live feed lists large Polymarket trades as they fill on Pro, and 24 hours later without it.

Picks and market activity

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