Resolution reportTuesday, October 6, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
78%
1,004 right291 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 27,246
- No consensus
- 25,951
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,068 provider closure; 3,178 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$123.39
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$93.32
- ABarren-MorbidityLast tradedUnder+$293.98
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$869.37
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$205.35
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$205
- Called
- Jay Dylan Friend
- Won
- Jay Dylan Friend
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYuta Kikuchi-$528
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedYuta Kikuchi-$59.06
- SRN1Last tradedJay Dylan Friend+$27.17
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 65%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$206.16
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedUnder+$0.60
- Arabbitfoot1Last tradedOver-$742.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$996.97
- SSharky6999Last tradedNo+$70.40
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes-$1,596.63
- Called
- Bilbao Basket
- Won
- Bilbao Basket
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedBilbao Basket+$69.78
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedBilbao Basket+$7.83
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedBilbao Basket+$5.42
- Called
- Zeu5 Esports
- Won
- Maryville University
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedZeu5 Esports-$320.70
- A21372137Last tradedZeu5 Esports-$4.20
- Azxcursed121Last tradedZeu5 Esports-$1.20
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Ablackewolf83Last tradedYes+$342.96
- Ajack.jrLast tradedYes+$311.66
- AAztecClustersLast tradedNo-$40.45
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$118.46
- AHourglassLast tradedYes-$64.07
- ALesterDiamondLast tradedYes-$14.96
- Called
- mellren
- Won
- mellren
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedmellren+$115.89
- Alma0o0o0oLast tradedmellren+$440.36
- ABookWarriorLast tradedGothic-$311.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 30%
- Called
- 3DMAX Academy
- Won
- VP.Future 3
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast traded3DMAX Academy-$170.30
- STommyLeePeecaLast traded3DMAX Academy-$57.03
- SantecLast tradedVP.Future 3+$49.03
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$303.07
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$62.95
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$8.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$79.03
- AMaximus22Last tradedDown+$108
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$97.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$17.88
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$0.09
- AMaximus22Last tradedUp+$155.97
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$207.07
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo-$114.02
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$10.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$17.06
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$140.05
- AMaximus22Last tradedUp+$113.71
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$9.43
- Aalmost-neverLast tradedNo+$310
- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedNo+$37.28
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$13.33
- AmrworldwideLast tradedNo+$57.53
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$24.90
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$41,760.04
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder-$6,659.88
- SbetdgeLast tradedUnder-$2,372.67
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$8,521.83
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$124.28
- ACannaeLast tradedUnder+$719.53
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNM-PLast tradedUnder+$2,057.42
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder+$1,876.27
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$742.20
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown+$518.39
- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$1,395.38
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$1,262.02
- Called
- Chicago White Sox
- Won
- Chicago White Sox
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedChicago White Sox+$4,472.04
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedChicago White Sox+$239.95
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedChicago White Sox+$181.46
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$3,842.85
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$913.13
- Storta.techLast tradedOver+$713.64
- Called
- LG Twins
- Won
- LG Twins
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedLG Twins+$2,549.99
- AsentrioLast tradedLG Twins+$213.37
- A0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedLG Twins+$134.05
- Called
- Samsung Lions
- Won
- Samsung Lions
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedSamsung Lions+$2,173.13
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSamsung Lions+$805.24
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedSamsung Lions+$99.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNo+$576.74
- SantecLast tradedNo+$37.06
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$1.51
- Called
- Charlotte Pikkaart
- Won
- Charlotte Pikkaart
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCharlotte Pikkaart+$1,801.24
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCharlotte Pikkaart+$307.01
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedRomane Longueville-$97.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedYes+$150
- AghostorderLast tradedYes+$340.08
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo-$0.23
- Called
- Lakers
- Won
- Lakers
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedKings-$668.91
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLakers+$455.70
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedLakers+$253.76
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$1,832.35
- AStraddleSellerLast tradedNo-$136.69
- AD8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Last tradedYes+$75.94
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$2,028.85
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$220.74
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$1.92
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$4,215.69
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$1,297.56
- AEn111006Last tradedDown+$659.04
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$52.03
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$5.10
- ASyrrokLast tradedUnder+$1,302.39
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Right- Called
- Croatia
- Won
- Croatia
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedCroatia+$576.77
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSpain-$243.87
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedCroatia+$410.23
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfortunekingLast tradedYes+$818.73
- SantecLast tradedYes+$251.29
- AKidfpLast tradedYes+$255.21
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$461.63
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder-$29.09
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$5.45
- Called
- 3DMAX Academy
- Won
- VP.Future 3
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast traded3DMAX Academy-$379.46
- SantecLast traded3DMAX Academy-$215.07
- AJohnLKellyJrLast tradedVP.Future 3+$2,067.59
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$2,612.75
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$578.41
- BmihaXdLast tradedDown+$201.20
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$1,188.26
- SGC-PLast tradedUnder-$314.39
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$100.99
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$1.39
- SRock.SanLast tradedUnder+$0.42
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$394.10
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABoomLaLaLast tradedOver-$205.05
- Afatdog-012Last tradedUnder+$154.59
- BcocococococoLast tradedUnder+$1,219.38
- Called
- Novak Djokovic
- Won
- Novak Djokovic
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 53%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedNovak Djokovic+$287.35
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAlex de Minaur-$152.35
- SDonkooLast tradedNovak Djokovic+$39.76
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$396.89
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$328.78
- SNM-PLast tradedOver-$118.46
- Called
- Misa Malkin
- Won
- Misa Malkin
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMisa Malkin+$432.76
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedMisa Malkin+$252.69
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMisa Malkin+$89.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 30%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedYes-$476.81
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$362.85
- SwapolLast tradedNo+$308.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 88%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$147.50
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$0.73
- SRock.SanLast tradedYes+$0.24
- Called
- Albania
- Won
- San Marino
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedAlbania-$510.95
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedAlbania-$109.46
- SRN1Last tradedAlbania-$97.86
25,908 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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