Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 92% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,492
- No consensus
- 26,942
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 25,117 provider closure; 3,375 first observed.
Grades: the grade each wallet held when its market settled.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$5.50
- B0x0dD9Last tradedNo+$1
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.20
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedNo-$1.94
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$3.11
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$1.62
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$5.01
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$0.68
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo+$0.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$3.63
- APoligarchLast tradedNo-$4.56
- BHans323Last tradedNo+$6.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$5.50
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.20
- BHalfa-BetaLast tradedNo+$0.16
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$34.72
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$35.92
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$6.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BCreamCream1215Last tradedYes-$62.28
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$45.44
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$11.28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.34
- ABiggggggggLast tradedNo-$1.39
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.66
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.84
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.27
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedYes-$3.69
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$1.38
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bjimmer-fredetteLast tradedNo+$2.78
- BenderoneLast tradedNo+$2.05
- B64MGX75VLQLast tradedNo+$0.07
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$2.31
- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.32
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$1.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.85
- AaHjCzLast tradedYes-$0.76
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$0.14
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$49.97
- BLearnSlowly111Last tradedDown+$40.41
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$4.90
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedNo+$52.66
- AHolyMoses7Last tradedYes-$55.87
- APrickly-EyrieLast tradedNo-$1.39
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARyxon21Last tradedNo+$4.70
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$1.51
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedYes+$1.34
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARyxon21Last tradedNo+$3.92
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$1.05
- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$0.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$3.36
- ABiggggggggLast tradedNo-$1.84
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.03
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo$0
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$2.38
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$1.75
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlawed-TranceLast tradedUnder+$1.98
- SgaclfzLast tradedUnder+$1.87
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$0.20
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$2.81
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$0.16
- BvenezuelainLast tradedYes+$1.02
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$0.02
- Bgod83743894Last tradedNo-$2.59
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedNo-$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$19.72
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$21.61
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.87
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDREAMBIG.Last tradedNo+$2.40
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$1.36
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.96
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$1.58
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.96
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$1.58
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.96
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$1.58
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.96
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$1.58
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$2.60
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$0.46
- BImBruceWayneLast tradedUp-$5.68
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.24
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$1.28
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedNo-$1.85
- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$1.58
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 5?
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedUp+$2.65
- BythoLast tradedDown+$9.27
- BPrimePenguinLast tradedDown-$8.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$2.53
- AaHjCzLast tradedNo-$0.80
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo-$2.49
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$0.72
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$4.21
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo-$1.02
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ARyxon21Last tradedNo+$4.53
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$1.40
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.11
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo-$0.89
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$2.13
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$0.34
- BCavernous-AgricultureLast tradedUp+$0.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo-$4.56
- ARyxon21Last tradedNo+$4.33
- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$2.11
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$2.35
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.08
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedYes+$5.28
- BAnon321321321Last tradedNo-$3.13
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$0.96
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$2.54
- BghorrockLast tradedNo-$1.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo+$2.08
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedNo-$2.90
- BAnon321321321Last tradedNo-$1.28
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AMysariaLast tradedNo-$3.24
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$0.68
- Bem...wellLast tradedYes+$0.56
26,875 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,273 more positions across 1,201 markets on this day.