Resolution reportMonday, October 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets backed the winner
Being rescored
— right— wrong
All wallets: being rescored.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 28,338
- No consensus
- 26,723
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,963 provider closure; 3,375 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACorrupt-LarkLast tradedNo+$0.92
- BWeatherHK2Last tradedYes-$40.99
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$17.88
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedYes-$9.93
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$9.70
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedNo+$2.77
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$6.96
- AMiserly-PoundLast tradedUp+$30
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$11.44
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$12.44
- AdonthackmeLast tradedYes-$2.76
- BAnon321321Last tradedYes-$1.01
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$40.61
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$28.78
- BErickaguilarLast tradedDown+$7.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$27.96
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$67.62
- Btmsd-testLast tradedDown-$197.57
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$40.65
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$27.23
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$69.99
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$58.68
- BJontheoneLast tradedUp+$27.03
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$97.84
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$112.80
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.88
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$10.27
- BterrordogchampionLast tradedNo+$2.18
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.10
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$32.87
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$58.17
- B0xb066…a0d7Last tradedUp-$8.24
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$40.53
- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedDown-$66.75
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$3.51
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver-$331.10
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder+$290
- AElated-LentilLast tradedUnder+$0.31
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.45
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$0.86
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.12
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$0.01
- BVitoCorleone777Last tradedNo+$38.65
- Brocky42024Last tradedYes-$28.56
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$1.69
- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$0.86
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$4.08
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder-$31.33
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$30.38
- Bsolstice2025Last tradedOver+$10.53
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$13.59
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$8.20
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$3.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$12.18
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes-$29.56
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$8.52
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedYes-$13.32
- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo+$6.24
- BThesickestLast tradedNo+$18.56
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmerodLast tradedYes-$3.58
- AmustbethewaterLast tradedYes-$1.38
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$1.38
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$34.76
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$18.88
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$7.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$59.26
- AdenzeldumfriesLast tradedYes-$123.33
- BenderoneLast tradedNo+$66.29
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedYes-$0.89
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$2.11
- Bqwen4.1.fundLast tradedYes-$1.25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.27
- AthoodrLast tradedNo+$0.37
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedNo+$3.79
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$2.32
- AmerodLast tradedYes-$1.71
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedNo+$1.11
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$16.40
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$0.19
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$62.48
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$1.37
- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$2
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$1.99
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$10.59
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$10.17
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$1.87
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SPippiTraderLast tradedNo-$59.06
- Sgrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$6.11
- B13lur02Last tradedYes+$52.72
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACAQZeroSeatsLast tradedNo+$3
- BsmallreceiptLast tradedYes-$1.53
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$1.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$1.29
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$3.35
- B613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Last tradedNo+$0.90
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$492.79
- BDCAAALast tradedOver-$508.40
- BZeljkoLast tradedUnder+$15.57
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$11,117.01
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$76.58
- BCypyaLast tradedUnder-$1,278.51
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder-$68.49
- Bisco23Last tradedOver+$5,563.81
- Bq136084Last tradedOver+$41.98
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$4,791.83
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$51.20
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$4.20
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 11%
- Called
- Elise Mertens
- Won
- Elise Mertens
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedElise Mertens+$2,867.81
- SmishipolisLast tradedElise Mertens+$116.89
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedElise Mertens+$37.81
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,594.45
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$1.05
- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.07
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$2,231.83
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$1.30
- B0xd32c…a4c2Last tradedYes-$231.09
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Xinran Sun
- Won
- Xinran Sun
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRock.SanLast tradedXinran Sun+$1.85
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedXinran Sun+$0.85
- A88MLast tradedXinran Sun+$2,031.17
26,663 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 12,921 more positions across 1,240 markets on this day.
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