Resolution reportMonday, October 5, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
71%
1,033 right423 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 27,991
- No consensus
- 26,535
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 24,618 provider closure; 3,373 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$3,704.64
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedYes-$3,054.97
- Sgopfan2Last tradedYes-$292.85
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 44
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedYes+$4,510.67
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$2,345.66
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedYes+$824.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedYes+$3,083.56
- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedYes+$533.87
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$395.29
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 32%
Profitable wallets' positions- StunatylerLast tradedYes-$440
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedYes-$312.16
- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedNo+$187.63
- Called
- 9z
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 43
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedNatus Vincere+$2,925.84
- Sblack-rabbitLast traded9z-$2,856.91
- Swhite-rabbitLast traded9z-$2,612.84
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 42
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$30.19
- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedYes-$13.34
- AHourglassLast tradedNo+$2,198.50
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedNatus Vincere+$17,958.52
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedFlyQuest-$12,798.05
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedFlyQuest-$10,891.22
- Called
- G2
- Won
- G2
- Profitable wallets
- 41
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedG2+$2,024.28
- SminjiLast tradedShindeN-$1,358.16
- SxytestLast tradedShindeN-$1,252.42
- Called
- Team Falcons
- Won
- Team Falcons
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 34%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedTeam Falcons+$7,827.09
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedTeam Falcons+$4,552.98
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedVitality-$3,888.29
- Called
- BetBoom Team
- Won
- BetBoom Team
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedBetBoom Team+$9,077.14
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedAurora Gaming-$6,960.25
- STHEHIGHLIFELast tradedBetBoom Team+$5,202.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 68%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$3,704.64
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedYes-$3,147.82
- Apuipui2486Last tradedYes-$2,965.25
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRenanPresidente.Last tradedYes+$6,965.49
- SpaddaaLast tradedNo-$493.76
- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedYes+$490.11
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 40
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedNo-$197.74
- SHerrieDavisLast tradedNo-$48.79
- SarchaicLast tradedYes+$6.27
- Called
- Raiders
- Won
- Raiders
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedRaiders+$318,684.02
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedRaiders+$19,711.09
- SprimmLast tradedChiefs-$17,879.13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 39
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlipadelphiaLast tradedYes-$55.81
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$27.29
- ACrock95Last tradedYes-$488.70
- Called
- 1WIN
- Won
- 1WIN
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 45%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedLegacy-$7,136.26
- Swhite-rabbitLast tradedLegacy-$6,179.40
- SferrariChampions2026Last traded1WIN+$4,039.99
- Called
- MOUZ
- Won
- MOUZ
- Profitable wallets
- 38
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedSpirit-$10,658.15
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedMOUZ+$4,992.55
- SantecLast tradedSpirit-$2,501.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedNo-$426,202.55
- SRN1Last tradedNo-$15,160.30
- SGC-PLast tradedNo-$1,938.05
- Called
- M80
- Won
- M80
- Profitable wallets
- 37
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedM80+$7,636.36
- Sesports095Last tradedM80+$3,639.89
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedM80+$2,822.24
- Called
- Dolphins
- Won
- Dolphins
- Profitable wallets
- 36
- Confidence
- 12%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedVikings-$83,126.33
- SBreakTheBankLast tradedDolphins+$30,051.31
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedDolphins+$18,894.93
- Called
- Vitality
- Won
- Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 62%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedTeam Falcons-$5,417.12
- SSunshine.SmileLast tradedVitality+$4,299.09
- SRN1Last tradedTeam Falcons-$2,758.78
- Called
- Marie Bouzkova
- Won
- Qinwen Zheng
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- StradecraftLast tradedMarie Bouzkova-$4,538.38
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedMarie Bouzkova-$1,728.44
- SmonkeymashingkeyboardLast tradedQinwen Zheng+$1,663.95
- Won
- Carlos Alcaraz
- Profitable wallets
- 35
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJaume Munar-$10,009.53
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJaume Munar-$6,322.68
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedCarlos Alcaraz+$4,739.54
- Called
- Team Vitality
- Won
- Team Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedTeam Vitality+$1,694.96
- SantecLast tradedGAM Esports-$329.53
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedGAM Esports-$180.74
- Called
- Filippo Moroni
- Won
- Filippo Moroni
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 97%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedFilippo Moroni+$6,105.09
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedFilippo Moroni+$2,689.66
- STRCMLast tradedFilippo Moroni+$1,580.48
- Called
- TYLOO
- Won
- TYLOO
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 21%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedTYLOO+$22,613.04
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedM80-$14,722.49
- SfkigedgjdgwbgLast tradedTYLOO+$6,400.25
- Called
- Golden Knights
- Won
- Golden Knights
- Profitable wallets
- 33
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sone8tyfiveLast tradedGolden Knights+$5,044.66
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGolden Knights+$2,083.67
- STalvez10Last tradedGolden Knights+$1,903.11
- Called
- Thiago Monteiro
- Won
- Elmer Moeller
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThiago Monteiro-$43,570.08
- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedThiago Monteiro-$15,438.41
- SRN1Last tradedThiago Monteiro-$14,687.94
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$3,704.64
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedYes-$3,122.53
- AGucky-45Last tradedYes-$1,315.40
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$3,358.16
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$1,470.22
- SNordhavenCapLast tradedNo+$1,147.72
- Called
- Clippers
- Won
- Clippers
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 42%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedClippers+$3,061.82
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedWarriors-$1,363
- Storta.techLast tradedClippers+$774.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes+$387.53
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedNo-$58.30
- SarchaicLast tradedYes+$45.92
- Called
- G2
- Won
- G2
- Profitable wallets
- 32
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedShindeN-$3,910.35
- SxytestLast tradedG2+$2,062.27
- SminjiLast tradedG2+$2,056.55
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
Right- Called
- Panthers
- Won
- Panthers
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPanthers+$13,020.63
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedPanthers+$7,260.56
- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedPanthers+$2,401.09
- Called
- Alex de Minaur
- Won
- Alex de Minaur
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedAlex de Minaur+$8,355.32
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedHubert Hurkacz-$4,593.73
- SjtwyslljyLast tradedHubert Hurkacz-$2,638.22
- Called
- G2
- Won
- G2
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedG2+$13,178.76
- SGooooooollllllllllLast tradedG2+$7,524.92
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedShindeN-$2,680.83
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 44%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedNatus Vincere+$2,100
- SantecLast tradedFlyQuest-$1,166.86
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNatus Vincere+$841.05
- Called
- Team Vitality
- Won
- Team Vitality
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 61%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjohnbasterLast tradedTeam Vitality+$2,810.91
- SantecLast tradedGAM Esports-$1,484.89
- SMalfunction.Last tradedTeam Vitality+$549.06
- Called
- G2
- Won
- G2
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedG2+$3,013.49
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedShindeN-$390.45
- SantecLast tradedG2+$68.10
- Called
- Aleksandar Vukic
- Won
- Aleksandar Vukic
- Profitable wallets
- 31
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedAleksandar Vukic+$11,639.46
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJie Cui-$4,401.10
- SRN1Last tradedAleksandar Vukic+$731.49
Utah vs. Rangers
Right- Called
- Rangers
- Won
- Rangers
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedRangers+$16,268.63
- SroyalestakeLast tradedRangers+$3,360
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRangers+$2,792.79
- Called
- FURIA
- Won
- FURIA
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 31%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedPARIVISION-$5,039.42
- Sblack-rabbitLast tradedFURIA+$3,348.82
- SminjiLast tradedFURIA+$1,174.82
- Called
- Alexandre Muller
- Won
- Alexandre Muller
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRio Noguchi-$945.55
- SCandleHammerDrumsLast tradedAlexandre Muller+$476.28
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedRio Noguchi-$392.43
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 30
- Confidence
- 6%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SclassifiedLast tradedYes-$3,704.64
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedYes-$3,129.27
- Apuipui2486Last tradedYes-$2,965.20
- Called
- Dalibor Svrcina
- Won
- Dalibor Svrcina
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDalibor Svrcina+$15,469.44
- SRN1Last tradedBilly Harris-$9,167.95
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBilly Harris-$7,101.35
- Called
- Nick Hardt
- Won
- Nick Hardt
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 48%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNick Hardt+$6,747.52
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNick Hardt+$5,841.57
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedGonzalo Villanueva-$4,403.30
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 29
- Confidence
- 49%
Profitable wallets' positions- SED99999Last tradedYes+$1,759.97
- S0xf1434f7d6de30bfbbdfeadd075a1f40fLast tradedYes+$174.57
- SCarLast tradedNo-$137.90
Panthers vs. Ducks
Right- Called
- Ducks
- Won
- Ducks
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 59%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmooseborzoiiLast tradedPanthers-$16,413.45
- SroyalestakeLast tradedDucks+$3,850
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPanthers-$701.32
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 28
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHibernatingParasiteLast tradedYes+$151.67
- SrainbowliliesLast tradedYes+$120.48
- SarchaicLast tradedYes+$26.79
26,475 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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