Resolution reportSunday, October 4, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
79%
1,358 right356 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 41,203
- No consensus
- 39,489
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 33,696 provider closure; 7,507 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- AviniiLast tradedYes+$56.66
- ARobbbLast tradedYes+$34.40
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes+$2
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$10.92
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$51.88
- AgningdLast tradedUp+$22
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$38.98
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$92.63
- AnoxmeLast tradedUp-$40.52
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes-$686.90
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedNo+$311.98
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes-$262.91
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$13.06
- Aoudine2Last tradedYes-$266.61
- ABiggggggggLast tradedYes-$115.56
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$48.97
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$164.78
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$57.68
- Called
- Galorys
- Won
- Galorys
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedGalorys+$115.14
- SantecLast tradedTurma do Pagode-$46.13
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedGalorys+$5.12
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$428.90
- SspendingmoneyLast tradedOver+$65.43
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$17.26
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$466.56
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$161.14
- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$110
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$79.82
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$112
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$8.07
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 60%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver+$172.44
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver+$92.01
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$3.94
- Called
- ENCE Prospects
- Won
- TheChampionGG
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedENCE Prospects-$200.11
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedTheChampionGG+$166.59
- SantecLast tradedENCE Prospects-$148.91
Portugal vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5
No consensus- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$410.38
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$129
- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedUnder+$78.92
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo+$177.15
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$42.04
- APoligarchLast tradedYes-$24.74
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SYes+$57.92
- Sx6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4Last tradedYes+$37.11
- AComTruiseLast tradedYes+$32.15
Games Total: O/U 4.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 18%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$200.82
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$8.07
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$3.50
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 57%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$1.17
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp+$113.35
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$79.78
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$22.85
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$138.61
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$24.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$50.61
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$91.59
- AnoxmeLast tradedDown-$69.38
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 66%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo+$151.70
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNo+$30.92
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$24.40
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$28.73
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown-$55.73
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$42.78
Spread: Rams (-5.5)
Right- Called
- Eagles
- Won
- Eagles
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedEagles+$55,495.65
- SNooseracLast tradedRams-$8,790.88
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedRams-$6,395.47
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedUnder+$32,646.41
- SbetdgeLast tradedUnder+$8,793.21
- SNooseracLast tradedUnder+$4,640.28
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$5,390.98
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$2,613.78
- Storta.techLast tradedOver+$2,550.90
- Called
- Ryuki Matsuda
- Won
- Ryuki Matsuda
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSergey Betov-$3,371.19
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedRyuki Matsuda+$67.04
- BNotable-CarrierLast tradedSergey Betov-$8,000.34
- Called
- Vikings
- Won
- Vikings
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SroyalestakeLast tradedVikings+$4,560
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedDolphins-$503.29
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedVikings+$3,781.07
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRegardedMoneyLast tradedNo+$8,989.68
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$105.17
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNo+$42.29
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SethanazLast tradedOver+$4,395.63
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$2,431.80
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,417.09
- Called
- Rams
- Won
- Rams
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedRams+$1,392.81
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedRams+$1,159.24
- SRN1Last tradedRams+$1,003.24
- Called
- Arizona
- Won
- Arizona
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 91%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedArizona+$4,089.46
- SprimmLast tradedArizona+$1,500
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedArizona+$619.24
- Called
- Dolphins
- Won
- Dolphins
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedDolphins+$5,514.35
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedDolphins+$3,928.45
- SbetdgeLast tradedVikings-$3,539.92
- Called
- Baylor
- Won
- Baylor
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 73%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBaylor+$671.06
- SantecLast tradedBaylor+$46
- Agmpm2Last tradedArizona State-$6,878.40
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$3,527.23
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$1,515.01
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$957
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$5,322.27
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder-$254.68
- ScurieLast tradedOver+$55.48
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$133.12
- APEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLast tradedUnder+$3,120
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$37
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
Right- Called
- Patriots
- Won
- Patriots
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedBills-$4,924.03
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBills-$3,244.88
- SprimmLast tradedPatriots+$2,502.75
- Called
- Nebraska
- Won
- Nebraska
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedNebraska+$5,456.15
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedMaryland-$5,089.21
- APEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLast tradedNebraska+$7,050
Spread: Army (-2.5)
Right- Called
- Louisiana Tech
- Won
- Louisiana Tech
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 79%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLouisiana Tech+$2,329.66
- SbetdgeLast tradedLouisiana Tech+$2,051.82
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedLouisiana Tech+$90.01
- Called
- Arkansas State
- Won
- Arkansas State
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedArkansas State+$3,257.68
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedLouisiana-$52.95
- ALuckyLooLast tradedArkansas State+$659.75
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$2,982.95
- SMartyMcFoxLast tradedOver+$146.90
- SantecLast tradedOver+$1.25
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$2,291.69
- ScurieLast tradedUnder+$1,042.11
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUnder+$251.58
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$5,296.93
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$1,938.41
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$1,050.77
- Called
- Giants
- Won
- Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 77%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedGiants+$1,679.60
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedGiants+$1,330.59
- SRN1Last tradedGiants+$301.65
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$1,213.43
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo-$150.93
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$1.10
- Called
- Arizona
- Won
- Arizona
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedCincinnati-$3,645.87
- SantecLast tradedArizona+$54
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedArizona+$3.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 18%
- Called
- Basket Zaragoza
- Won
- Valencia
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 13%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedBasket Zaragoza-$96.60
- SmishipolisLast tradedBasket Zaragoza-$38.45
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedValencia+$16.82
- Called
- Giants
- Won
- Giants
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedGiants+$1,549.15
- SRN1Last tradedGiants+$700.10
- SbetdgeLast tradedGiants+$215
39,436 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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