Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
81%
1,318 right309 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 44,830
- No consensus
- 43,203
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 37,005 provider closure; 7,825 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$8.89
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$3.97
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$1.41
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Spread: UNLV (-4.5)
Right- Called
- UNLV
- Won
- UNLV
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedCalifornia-$191.58
- SprimmLast tradedUNLV+$178.57
- A-JB-Last tradedUNLV+$2
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$23.71
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedUp-$68.22
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown+$33.54
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$8.29
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$1.77
- BNotJumpLast tradedUnder+$0.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedYes+$69.12
- ACar-cLast tradedNo-$62.22
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes+$3.69
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$21.61
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$33.23
- BpnyyLast tradedUp-$21.74
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$7.71
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$1.26
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp-$3.19
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BdaegothLast tradedNo+$6.25
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$2.39
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$0.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedNo-$55.92
- BHyperwellNerdZLast tradedYes+$66.60
- B0x2d2c…00b5Last tradedNo-$1.96
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedNo+$0.56
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.06
- B0xJasonSanLast tradedNo+$8
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$29.80
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$12.21
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp-$33.98
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$7.32
- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$0.50
- BiliabouchouevLast tradedNo+$0.20
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$4.73
- SZaiZoiBeleLast tradedYes+$2.55
- AMarquisDeMottLast tradedYes+$0.69
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$1.24
- AasasassLast tradedUnder+$0.36
- BNotJumpLast tradedUnder+$5.85
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$26.86
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown-$22.44
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$2.88
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$3.89
- BGoodLuck68886Last tradedNo+$2.54
- BSkyLove7Last tradedNo+$0.29
- Called
- North Dakota State
- Won
- North Dakota State
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$26.37
- AAnonymousUsernameLast tradedWyoming-$75.24
- BOddstormLast tradedNorth Dakota State+$42.35
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BKharekkLast tradedOver+$5.70
- BMeistersApprenticeshipLast tradedOver+$0.75
- BCactus-001Last tradedUnder-$0.03
Will Albirex Niigata win on 2026-10-03?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACar-cLast tradedNo-$51.80
- BPassionate-MinorleagueLast tradedYes+$56.88
- BBetNovaaLast tradedYes+$0.24
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$10.79
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$0.53
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$5.30
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- Storta.techLast tradedUnder+$108.74
- ALesterDiamondLast tradedUnder+$3
- BPan9XLast tradedOver-$107.58
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$17.23
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$0.95
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp+$12.16
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BpnyyLast tradedDown-$5.24
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$4.31
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedDown-$2.52
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BpnyyLast tradedDown+$4.20
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp-$3.01
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$2.11
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$10.82
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$9.99
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$3.92
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BBetNovaaLast tradedUnder+$1.43
- BSTAYCALMLast tradedUnder+$1.22
- BCactus-001Last tradedUnder+$0.33
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$4.77
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$0.11
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$7.45
- Called
- Tennessee State
- Won
- Western Illinois
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedTennessee State-$3.28
- AMarquisDeMottLast tradedWestern Illinois+$0.69
- BPan9XLast tradedTennessee State-$0.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$15.76
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$9.78
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$3.56
- Called
- Valparaiso
- Won
- Valparaiso
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SNooseracLast tradedValparaiso+$79.39
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedMorehead State-$77.29
- SMalfunction-Last tradedValparaiso+$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$7.11
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedDown+$9.41
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedDown+$0.06
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$12.93
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$6.31
- BpnyyLast tradedDown+$4.46
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$5.55
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$3.59
- BterrordogchampionLast tradedNo+$0.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$56.14
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedDown+$34.98
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown+$22.82
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$0.41
- BVortexBetLast tradedDown+$0.50
- BVortexTradingLast tradedDown+$0.41
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$3.79
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$6.39
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown+$3.35
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$18.76
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$5.79
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$13.70
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BpnyyLast tradedUp-$0.76
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedDown+$0.08
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp$0
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
- Called
- West Virginia
- Won
- Iowa State
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedIowa State+$2,327
- SbetdgeLast tradedWest Virginia-$1,680
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedWest Virginia-$647
43,131 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 10,761 more positions across 1,243 markets on this day.
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