Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
81%
1,293 right305 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 44,470
- No consensus
- 42,872
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 36,645 provider closure; 7,825 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver-$639.11
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$508.56
- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$80
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedYes+$9.60
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$129.13
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$61.76
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver-$114.28
- AJackenandLast tradedUnder+$3.47
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$73.98
Spread: UCF (-1.5)
Right- Called
- Houston
- Won
- Houston
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$1,169.93
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedOver+$124.94
- BStudyPredictionLast tradedOver+$1,040
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACorrupt-HornLast tradedOver+$37.38
- BNotJumpLast tradedOver+$9.05
- Btiago1878Last tradedOver+$1.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedNo-$189.05
- SantecLast tradedYes+$17.39
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$11.50
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Brocky42007Last tradedNo+$16.95
- BOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo+$15.29
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$10.90
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$21
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$2.92
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$25.84
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$72.87
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$26.59
- BSubdued-AleLast tradedUp+$11.68
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$36.60
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$0.28
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$2.88
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedYes-$1.36
- Bneo7777Last tradedNo+$26
- BfastestclickLast tradedNo+$12.07
- Called
- James Madison
- Won
- James Madison
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedJames Madison+$83.30
- SantecLast tradedJames Madison+$44
- BOddstormLast tradedMarshall-$55.80
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$5.47
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp+$20
- B0x6c8b…645cLast tradedUp+$13.18
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$9.44
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$44.47
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp-$36.46
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnjunLast tradedNo+$3.30
- AbadatthisLast tradedNo+$10
- BUnripe-WhiskerLast tradedYes-$59.53
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BAlexD87Last tradedNo+$20.72
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$7.50
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$2.50
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 27%
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$83.71
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$79.22
- BmmcrLast tradedDown+$22.59
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SmishipolisLast tradedNo+$118.33
- AprobabilityLast tradedNo+$62.34
- Bbet2earnLast tradedYes-$220.09
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$109.75
- SRock.SanLast tradedUp+$67.03
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedUp+$12.78
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SC03BLast tradedYes+$9.58
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo-$91.25
- ApennedreadfulLast tradedYes+$50.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$12.87
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$0.16
- ASyrrokLast tradedUnder+$11.24
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BOraculumNobiusLast tradedNo+$11.41
- BHappening9014Last tradedNo+$10.74
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$2.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$23.28
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$10.50
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$32.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- APoligarchLast tradedNo+$20.60
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$12
- BghorrockLast tradedNo+$14.28
- Called
- North Dakota
- Won
- North Dakota
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedNorth Dakota+$17.80
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedNorth Dakota+$9.07
- SMalfunction.Last tradedNorth Dakota+$0.53
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$18.64
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$3.51
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedDown-$0.46
Spread: Wake Forest (-20.5)
No consensus- Won
- Wake Forest
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
- Called
- Xi Luo
- Won
- Xi Luo
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedXi Luo+$13.13
- Byegorrr23Last tradedZijun Jiang-$54.24
- BLOOTLELast tradedXi Luo+$50.44
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedYes+$15.08
- AMyBettingFutureLast tradedYes+$0.90
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedYes+$3.37
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 64%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedOver+$66.37
- SColdMathLast tradedOver+$26
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedUnder-$142.10
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$35.18
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown-$17.83
- BVortexTradingLast tradedUp+$0.27
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$28.70
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$48.66
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedUp+$2.31
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedDown-$19.64
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp+$1.69
- BIll-Informed-CommissionLast tradedUp+$0.55
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACaring-KingfishLast tradedDown+$10
- AElated-LentilLast tradedDown+$2.50
- BCaring-MemoryLast tradedDown+$2.50
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedUnder+$9.03
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$0.10
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$4.11
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$11.31
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$62.26
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedUp-$40.74
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown+$7.08
- BVortexBetLast tradedDown+$2.42
- BVortexTradingLast tradedDown+$2.32
- Called
- STATE
- Won
- STATE
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedSTATE+$14.14
- SantecLast tradedElite Klan-$4.96
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedSTATE+$3.95
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Vanderbilt
- Won
- Georgia
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedVanderbilt-$171.08
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGeorgia+$168.87
- SantecLast tradedVanderbilt-$33.43
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$9.99
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$48.47
- BpowerwinnerLast tradedDown-$25.68
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLonnieHawkinsLast tradedOver+$13.70
- SantecLast tradedOver+$0.20
- Adv-pmLast tradedOver+$51.60
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$53.95
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$2.74
- BRichlukcypotatoLast tradedDown+$138.13
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$3.41
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedYes+$2.74
- A0xb6fe…7394Last tradedYes+$1.50
42,804 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 10,328 more positions across 1,210 markets on this day.
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