Resolution reportSaturday, October 3, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
82%
1,158 right255 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 40,830
- No consensus
- 39,417
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 33,006 provider closure; 7,824 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Procyon Gaming
- Won
- Procyon Gaming
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedProcyon Gaming+$182.34
- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedex-Keyd Stars-$145.83
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedProcyon Gaming+$105.02
- Called
- BESTIA Academy
- Won
- Galorys
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedBESTIA Academy-$122.18
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedBESTIA Academy-$39.64
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedBESTIA Academy-$14.81
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 41%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$2,503.95
- SSharky6999Last tradedUp+$2.01
- AEn111006Last tradedDown-$2,112.77
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$591.67
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$405.30
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver-$183.06
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 37%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 24%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$403.48
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder+$180.05
- SwapolLast tradedOver-$98.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$512.95
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp+$240.85
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$9.31
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$154.83
- AnoxmeLast tradedDown+$53.70
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedUp-$52.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$54.89
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$81.76
- Azxcursed121Last tradedYes-$22
Spread: Notre Dame (-16.5)
No consensus- Won
- North Carolina
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SbetdgeLast tradedNotre Dame-$571.08
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNorth Carolina+$438.87
- SRN1Last tradedNorth Carolina+$245
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 86%
Profitable wallets' positions- SParz1vaILast tradedNo+$74.44
- AmolodoyyLast tradedNo+$33
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo+$26
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 69%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$12.76
- AWeatherstappenLast tradedNo+$3.82
- AHighTempTationLast tradedNo+$3.22
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$19.77
- SantecLast tradedNo+$12.88
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNo+$8.67
- Called
- Liberty
- Won
- Liberty
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 81%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLiberty+$443.60
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLiberty+$23.95
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedLiberty+$5.83
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedYes+$225.69
- AaveragerandommanLast tradedNo-$362.76
- A0xDB5Last tradedYes+$74.71
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 11%
- Called
- Turma do Pagode
- Won
- Turma do Pagode
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedTurma do Pagode+$64.45
- SantecLast tradedYawara Esports-$53.76
- STommyLeePeecaLast tradedTurma do Pagode+$1.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 8
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Vanderbilt
- Won
- Vanderbilt
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 63%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedVanderbilt+$10,182.86
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedVanderbilt+$2.84
- Agmpm2Last tradedVanderbilt+$23,201.67
- Called
- Air Force
- Won
- Air Force
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SKch-TempLast tradedAir Force+$18,873.40
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNavy-$596.21
- SantecLast tradedAir Force+$35.91
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- APEYZ-BIGGEST-FANLast tradedUnder+$2,685.27
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$207.45
- Bgagarin59Last tradedUnder+$6,024.64
- Called
- UCF
- Won
- UCF
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedHouston-$13,433.70
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedUCF+$7.55
- ScurieLast tradedUCF+$5.41
- Called
- Northwestern
- Won
- Northwestern
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNorthwestern+$4,262.67
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedNorthwestern+$476.44
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNorthwestern+$330.68
- Called
- Natus Vincere
- Won
- Natus Vincere
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S0x29b52d98ac9ef9414b04164246c95BC63d7Last tradedNatus Vincere+$3,666.13
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedNatus Vincere+$112.15
- SantecLast tradedNatus Vincere+$49.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedUnder+$161.20
- AasasassLast tradedOver-$1,000.19
- Aameisgoat11Last tradedUnder+$90.59
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedYes+$1,505.03
- SantecLast tradedYes+$82.06
- ALuckyLooLast tradedYes+$151.14
- Called
- Vanderbilt
- Won
- Vanderbilt
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedVanderbilt+$6,633.78
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGeorgia-$5,291.38
- SRN1Last tradedVanderbilt+$2,442.69
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SprimmLast tradedUnder-$3,618.03
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedOver+$148.11
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedUnder-$144
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 28%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,995.50
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$860.01
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedUnder-$526.47
- Called
- Dallas Wings
- Won
- Dallas Wings
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 22%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedDallas Wings+$2,958.66
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedGolden State Valkyries-$1,362.91
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedDallas Wings+$435.15
- Called
- Liberty
- Won
- Delaware
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedLiberty-$4,315.82
- SprimmLast tradedDelaware+$1,000
- SRN1Last tradedDelaware+$997.88
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 55%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$4,155.88
- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$2,037.57
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$387.46
- Called
- Melbourne United
- Won
- Cairns Taipans
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 7%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedCairns Taipans+$3,135.99
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedMelbourne United-$294.92
- ALuckyLooLast tradedCairns Taipans+$365.75
- Called
- NC State
- Won
- NC State
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedNC State+$10,676.53
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedLouisville-$72.44
- Agmpm2Last tradedLouisville-$16,563.80
- Called
- Astralis
- Won
- Astralis
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 58%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
Right- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 16%
Profitable wallets' positions- STalvez10Last tradedOver-$2,550.28
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedOver-$169.54
- SRock.SanLast tradedUnder+$1.17
- Called
- James Madison
- Won
- James Madison
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 53%
- Called
- Cloud Dawning
- Won
- Cloud Dawning
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBackTestEoCaraioLast tradedCloud Dawning+$252.47
- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedCloud Dawning+$140.39
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedInterActive Philippines-$47.25
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$25.41
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedOver+$3.43
- AJan777Last tradedUnder-$3,034.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedNo+$65.69
- ALegal-Knot-NeglectLast tradedNo+$94.90
- Boieshfn345Last tradedNo+$1,790.14
- Called
- James Madison
- Won
- James Madison
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SantecLast tradedJames Madison+$26.53
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedJames Madison+$22.03
- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedMarshall-$5.51
Spread: SMU (-10.5)
Wrong- Called
- SMU
- Won
- Boston College
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustaluckydudeLast tradedSMU-$3,027.30
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedBoston College+$1,318.36
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSMU-$122.74
- Called
- Memphis
- Won
- Memphis
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedMemphis+$21.75
- ScurieLast tradedMemphis+$15.69
- A0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2Last tradedCharlotte-$63.35
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 10%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$1,660.07
- SRN1Last tradedOver-$237.60
- SGordinhoDoAlfaLast tradedOver-$132.86
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 7%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedUnder+$831.92
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$12.22
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$278.65
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 47%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder+$971.90
- SspendingmoneyLast tradedUnder+$99.75
- ALuckyLooLast tradedUnder+$422.11
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver-$2,594.03
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder+$77
- SantecLast tradedUnder+$1
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 7
- Confidence
- 8%
39,372 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
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