Resolution reportFriday, October 2, 2026UTC
Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
Profitable wallets' accuracy
78%
1,124 right316 wrong
The share of settled markets where profitable wallets held the winning side.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 23,835
- No consensus
- 22,395
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 20,569 provider closure; 3,266 first observed.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$0.39
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$78.51
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp-$27
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$22.94
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.96
- BpnyyLast tradedUp-$34.15
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- B0xf51b…ca1bLast tradedNo+$19.33
- Bmuller.Last tradedNo+$10.84
- B0x2662228cDC5E641DLast tradedNo+$8.72
- Called
- Las Vegas Aces
- Won
- Las Vegas Aces
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedLas Vegas Aces+$819.11
- ASunlineTickerLast tradedIndiana Fever-$844.44
- BPan9XLast tradedIndiana Fever-$18.26
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$2.21
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$33.75
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$12
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$73.58
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$44.29
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$6.42
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$12.96
- Bdawangwang001Last tradedUp+$20.03
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp+$4.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BboggycryptomanLast tradedDown-$50.16
- BOldstreetLast tradedUp+$25.54
- BmydreamsLast tradedDown-$17.58
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 43%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp+$45.92
- BpnyyLast tradedDown-$8.20
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$2.82
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 75%
Profitable wallets' positions- Se46m3Last tradedYes-$35.28
- Akorda77Last tradedYes-$31.42
- BCorny-HyphenationLast tradedNo+$30.97
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AAdmirable-TrustLast tradedNo+$5.86
- BsweetjLast tradedNo+$16.69
- BSpectrumLast tradedNo+$15.74
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$17.06
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp+$34.31
- AAlphaSemanticLast tradedUp+$9.83
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$15.81
- SRock.SanLast tradedDown+$0.71
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$12
- Called
- Valentina Ivanov
- Won
- Valentina Ivanov
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJuliana Giaccio-$358.80
- A88MLast tradedValentina Ivanov+$300
- AghostorderLast tradedValentina Ivanov+$86.37
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedNo+$8.03
- ACoinTrickLast tradedNo+$0.50
- BkodeoedLast tradedNo+$21.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- SthanksforplayinLast tradedNo+$19.32
- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$19.86
- BgreedymartinLast tradedNo+$20.99
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Mladá Boleslav
- Won
- Kometa Brno
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedMladá Boleslav-$1,549.39
- BWinnieTheDogLast tradedKometa Brno+$740
- BMinasTirithLast tradedKometa Brno+$740
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$9.76
- AgansinimenLast tradedUp+$14.54
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$5.64
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedOver-$76.01
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder+$73.66
- SColdMathLast tradedUnder+$32
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$8.25
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$30.13
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$5.66
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AsmellyEllieLast tradedYes+$7.73
- AQuarrelsome-BranchLast tradedYes+$2.60
- BUnripe-WhiskerLast tradedYes+$16.67
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BmydreamsLast tradedUp+$23.77
- BboggycryptomanLast tradedUp+$3.55
- BVortexTradingLast tradedUp+$0.94
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- SyoungwhaleLast tradedNo+$101
- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$19.50
- SNM-PLast tradedNo+$12.13
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp+$53.30
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown-$23
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown-$12.19
- Called
- Xipto Esports
- Won
- Xipto Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBackTestEoCaraioLast tradedInterActive Philippines-$30.96
- ABirdofLast tradedXipto Esports+$0.61
- AdabossrealmanLast tradedXipto Esports+$0.23
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$3.02
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$20.25
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$7.13
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 78%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$14.12
- AgansinimenLast tradedDown+$18
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$2.01
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- SwapolLast tradedUnder+$20.16
- BSecondhandvinylLast tradedUnder+$4.66
- BNotJumpLast tradedOver-$2.81
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Agrasstoucher69Last tradedYes-$340.61
- ACamelUpLast tradedNo+$135.47
- Bsimplystupid188Last tradedNo+$106.12
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ACoinTrickLast tradedYes+$0.50
- Bhermesss123Last tradedYes+$14.26
- BkodeoedLast tradedYes+$4.80
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SHard-IroncladLast tradedNo+$2.41
- AKnightDasCapitalLast tradedYes-$115.75
- AsentrioLast tradedNo+$86.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedYes-$35.69
- BsweetjLast tradedNo+$45.20
- BSpectrumLast tradedNo+$8.98
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown+$23.49
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$49.24
- BSubdued-AleLast tradedDown+$38.94
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$92.61
- AuninfromedflowwLast tradedDown+$81.11
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedUp-$18.17
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- AWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedUnder+$80
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$15.61
- BnakshiLast tradedOver-$82.04
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedUp-$28.45
- AHazing6648Last tradedDown+$15.93
- BpnyyLast tradedUp-$6.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedDown-$1.32
- Astcharlos3Last tradedUp+$0.51
- BSubdued-AleLast tradedUp+$9.44
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- A0x9506…1c4fLast tradedNo-$194.04
- BWeather-GuruLast tradedYes+$218.12
- Brocky42008Last tradedNo-$68.30
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- Bdawangwang001Last tradedDown+$13.66
- Bdion-dublinLast tradedUp-$1.55
- BVortexTradingLast tradedDown+$0.84
- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AProudIsraeliLast tradedUp+$0.22
- BpnyyLast tradedUp+$10.71
- BPeriodic-MarketplaceLast tradedUp+$2.82
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- AmustbethewaterLast tradedNo+$1.48
- BsweetjLast tradedYes-$13.81
- BSpectrumLast tradedNo+$0.81
- Called
- Steelers
- Won
- Browns
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- ScurieLast tradedSteelers-$30.94
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedSteelers-$10.05
- ABoomLaLaLast tradedBrowns+$25
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$1.68
- Azxcursed121Last tradedNo+$0.10
- BStayFreshCheeseBagsLast tradedNo+$4.54
- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sstd0Last tradedUp-$34.43
- AFairValueMachineLast tradedDown+$5.51
- Astcharlos3Last tradedDown+$1.87
22,311 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 8,938 more positions across 1,166 markets on this day.
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