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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bandirmaspor leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$77.58
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$58.85
    • A
      lebanditoLast traded
      Yes-$60.89

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$2.37
    • A
      PontiusPilateLast traded
      Yes-$55.61
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$142.10

  • Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      ddspeakerLast traded
      ex-Zero Tenacity+$130.13
    • A
      ltab233Last traded
      ex-Zero Tenacity+$43.38
    • B
      PleaseNoCopyLast traded
      ex-Zero Tenacity+$21.35

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Eastleigh FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Anderlecht qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Mexico vs. Colombia

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Mexico
    Won
    Mexico
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR
    Won
    Leviatán Esports
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      MIBR-$506.57
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      MIBR-$126.82
    • A
      aannikkLast traded
      Leviatán Esports+$451.39

  • Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ahli Doha SC vs. Lusail SC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Hartlepool United FC vs. Eastleigh FC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Fery vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 22.5

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      QbertRulesLast traded
      No+$165.13
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      No+$0.05
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      Yes-$0.01

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Josh Weil be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$117.95
    • B
      donthackmeLast traded
      Yes-$53.30
    • B
      SpectrumLast traded
      No+$9.42

  • Will TYLOO Qualify to VCT Champs 2026?

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs DENDELE CS (+3.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    DENDELE CS
    Won
    Aurora Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    SC Internacional
    Won
    SC Internacional
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      SC Internacional+$144.21
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      SC Internacional+$13.52
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      SC Internacional+$0.06

  • Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$3
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$14.10
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$144.49

  • Exact Score: Club Independiente Petrolero 3 - 1 Club Guabirá?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: Venezia FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$209.45
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$203.32
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$259.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-4.5) vs LOUD (+4.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG
    Won
    NRG
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: WBT vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Saint Sinners
    Won
    Saint Sinners
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FTS
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Deportivo Alavés 1 - 2 Villarreal CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Harriet Hageman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: Draw at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Altrincham FC vs. FC Halifax Town: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ODI Series Scotland vs Netherlands, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Netherlands
    Won
    Netherlands
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 2 Manchester City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$119.14
    • S
      MrDoucheLast traded
      No+$18.50
    • S
      03-Last traded
      No+$1.85

  • Will Mallory Aurichio be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?

    Wrong

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      title1Last traded
      No-$89.40
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      No-$50.05
    • B
      solomilloLast traded
      Yes+$0.05

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Maribor (Slovenia), clay: Jeff Planinsek Filip vs Valerio Aboian

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jeff Planinsek Filip
    Won
    Jeff Planinsek Filip
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 13.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      Under-$1,424.15
    • S
      betdgeLast traded
      Over+$61.39
    • A
      ebkk590Last traded
      Over+$1,500

  • Set 1 Winner: Yuan vs Stoiana

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Stoiana
    Won
    Stoiana
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      clownlyLast traded
      Yuan-$155.84
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Stoiana+$8.18
    • B
      tnotmotnotgwcrfLast traded
      Stoiana+$11.90

  • Map Handicap: 9INE (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    9INE
    Won
    Rune Eaters
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. USL Dunkerque: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$165.93
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$148.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$113.74

  • Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Al Nassr Saudi Club O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$127.12
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$99.85
    • A
      0xjamesLast traded
      Over-$96

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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