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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Yeovil Town FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Austria Lustenau vs. WSG Tirol: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$170.45
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Under+$6.05
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Under+$35.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?

    No consensus

    Culture

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      title1Last traded
      Yes-$126.66
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      No+$1.68
    • B
      C6H6Last traded
      No+$0.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      JAMJAMJAM4Last traded
      Yes+$90.50
    • A
      QbertRulesLast traded
      No-$212.47
    • B
      FluoLast traded
      Yes-$0.69

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Cap d'Agde (France), clay: Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pierre Antoine Tailleu
    Won
    Pierre Antoine Tailleu
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Pierre Antoine Tailleu+$43.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pierre Antoine Tailleu+$33.32
    • B
      kiwi.beanLast traded
      Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka-$199

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Southend United FC vs. Kidderminster Harriers FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Manly Sea Eagles vs. St. George Illawarra Dragons

    Right

    Sports

    Called
    Manly Sea Eagles
    Won
    Manly Sea Eagles
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      probabilityLast traded
      St. George Illawarra Dragons-$119.73
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Manly Sea Eagles+$0.27
    • B
      lIllIlllIlIlLast traded
      Manly Sea Eagles+$0.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$70.32
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$38.79
    • A
      fooooolLast traded
      Under+$9.67

  • Jeonnam Dragons vs. Cheonan City FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will PFC Slavia Sofia win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Montpellier HSC vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$423.96
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$369.76
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No-$59

  • Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 28?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      rocky42007Last traded
      Down-$154.96
    • B
      PrimePenguinLast traded
      Up+$116.88
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Down-$74.19

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pendikspor leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BetyourselfLast traded
      No+$56.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$43.68
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      No+$10.45

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Wisla Plock vs. Korona Kielce: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$84.87
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$28.70
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Under+$4.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bohemians Dublin FC vs. Sligo Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Vienna (Austria), clay: Heorhii Shylov vs Marcel Zielinski

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Heorhii Shylov
    Won
    Heorhii Shylov
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marcel Zielinski-$183.96
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Heorhii Shylov+$29.51
    • A
      ZeljkoLast traded
      Heorhii Shylov+$48.67

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      42021Last traded
      No+$64.44
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      No+$33.97
    • B
      GUZMANYGOMEZLast traded
      No+$3.27

  • Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Grêmio FBPA leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      New York Yankees-$381.25
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Houston Astros+$317.74
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Houston Astros+$162.27

  • Map Handicap: Color (-1.5) vs HyperSpirit (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Color
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: Crystal Palace FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$542.76
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$114
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$525.93

  • Set 1 Winner: Harris vs Ruiz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Harris
    Won
    Harris
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Real Racing Club 0 - 1 Elche CF?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Solihull Moors FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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