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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Chuck Gray win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sutton United FC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Sutton United FC
    Won
    Gateshead FC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Gateshead FC+$635.51
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Sutton United FC-$195.67
    • A
      BicycleThievessLast traded
      Sutton United FC-$104.16

  • Will Gent qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SK Beveren win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Birmingham City FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Wrexham AFC
    Won
    Wrexham AFC
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Wrexham AFC+$289.25
    • S
      MartyMcFoxLast traded
      Wrexham AFC+$15.64
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Birmingham City FC+$8.30

  • Will Sariyer SK win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$284.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$26.41
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Yes+$0.55

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    Kansas City Royals
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$422.60
    • S
      Adorable-AcquaintanceLast traded
      Kansas City Royals+$237.27
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$109.15

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FURIA
    Won
    FURIA
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      FURIA+$0.20
    • B
      bosstariroLast traded
      M80-$241.23
    • B
      FaZeUp1Last traded
      M80-$51.49

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Adrien Burdet vs Florent Lagarrigue

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Florent Lagarrigue
    Won
    Adrien Burdet
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Adrien Burdet+$1,065.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Florent Lagarrigue-$691.72
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Florent Lagarrigue-$81.19

  • FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Erzurumspor FK
    Won
    Erzurumspor FK
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Legia Warszawa vs. WKS Slask Wroclaw end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gerrit Cole: Strikeouts O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pendikspor vs. Bandirmaspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$334.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$59.67
    • A
      MEK9Last traded
      Over+$1.04

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$229.87
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$23.90
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      No+$0.75

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$254.38
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Up-$11.10
    • B
      ShqkampLast traded
      Down+$9.67

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?

    Wrong

    GDP

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • B
      CrazyCat-KiwiLast traded
      No-$121.10
    • B
      Roro22Last traded
      No-$117.32
    • B
      AJSVLast traded
      No+$8.47

  • PFC Slavia Sofia vs. FK Septemvri Sofia: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Down-$310.20
    • B
      ronnysLast traded
      Up+$80.72
    • B
      SreemLast traded
      Up+$3.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set 2 Winner: Vidmanova vs Bartunkova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Vidmanova
    Won
    Vidmanova
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jong AZ Alkmaar vs. MVV Maastricht: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$329.96
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$135.69
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$24.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rodez Aveyron Football vs. Pau FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Venezia FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$219.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$48.10
    • B
      nemesis18Last traded
      Yes-$58.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$323.01
    • B
      lx470Last traded
      Down-$116.51
    • B
      norm1e69Last traded
      Down+$1.31

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ZED FC vs. El Ahly SC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jeonnam Dragons vs. Cheonan City FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Mars" in August?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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