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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$11.38
    • A
      aapangLast traded
      Yes-$454.55
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$147.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Spread: Sakamoto (-1.5) vs Nishikori (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sakamoto
    Won
    Sakamoto
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Sakamoto+$553.46
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Sakamoto+$0.31
    • A
      dybasLast traded
      Sakamoto+$38.48

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Allershausen (Germany), clay: Thiago Cigarran vs William Rejchtman Vinciguerra

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
    Won
    Thiago Cigarran
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      William Rejchtman Vinciguerra-$321.78
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      William Rejchtman Vinciguerra-$160.46
    • A
      NeedForDeadLast traded
      William Rejchtman Vinciguerra-$86.40

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: VfL Osnabrück (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    VfL Osnabrück
    Won
    VfL Bochum
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NAC Breda win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Club Aurora win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$489.27
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$47.74
    • B
      dips.Last traded
      Yes-$47.66

  • Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs Passaro

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Mochizuki
    Won
    Passaro
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Mochizuki-$492
    • A
      looppauLast traded
      Passaro+$1.63
    • B
      MollykLast traded
      Passaro+$5.20

  • Galway United FC vs. Shelbourne FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 25–30%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      probabilityLast traded
      Yes-$384.54
    • A
      JonnyALast traded
      No+$0.46
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$90.10

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 20%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Galway United FC vs. Shelbourne FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by less than 5%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$333.12
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$126.20
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$7.94

  • Set 1 Winner: Fery vs Kovacevic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kovacevic
    Won
    Kovacevic
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: AC Milan 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$427.50
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$174.99
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Over-$171.96

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Wasl FC vs. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Pecs (Hungary), clay: Andrea Paolini vs Ignacio Monzon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ignacio Monzon
    Won
    Ignacio Monzon
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: El Qanah Club 0 - 0 El Gouna SC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional vs. Grêmio FBPA: Neither team to score first?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Rio Ave FC
    Won
    Sporting CP
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Rio Ave FC-$628.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Sporting CP+$308.47
    • B
      MuneerLast traded
      Rio Ave FC-$72.50

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: NRG (-3.5) vs LOUD (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG
    Won
    NRG
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RKC Waalwijk vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$962.85
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$558.76
    • A
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Under+$23.52

  • SF vs. LV: O/U 38.5

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SC Internacional leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$259.50
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$90
    • A
      Xander-XXLast traded
      No+$0.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Altrincham FC vs. FC Halifax Town: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Under+$407.27
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$78.23
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$19.22

  • Rodez Aveyron Football vs. Pau FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: NEOM SC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Riyadh Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Riyadh Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    3
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Al Riyadh Saudi Club+$335.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      NEOM SC-$268.57
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Al Riyadh Saudi Club+$273.16

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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