Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 86% on the same markets.
Settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 16,722
- No consensus
- 14,844
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
- Called
- Zheng
- Won
- Zheng
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedPridankina-$115.59
- Szxc368Last tradedZheng+$0.77
- AFierceMeadow250Last tradedZheng+$66.77
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 82%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$64.28
- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$24.89
- ASecondhandvinylLast tradedNo+$14.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- BErousLast tradedUp-$61.25
- BFond-OysterLast tradedDown+$43.37
- Bethan-kim22Last tradedDown+$20.18
- Called
- Black Phoenix
- Won
- Black Phoenix
- Profitable wallets
- 4
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRandomGameBetLast tradedBlack Phoenix+$0.19
- AkozelblackLast tradedBlack Phoenix+$1.84
- BZEST011Last tradedBlack Phoenix-$2.53
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedYes+$4,921.90
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes+$3,446.96
- BlIllIlllIlIlLast tradedYes+$0.06
- Called
- Bonzi
- Won
- Buse
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedBonzi-$3,840
- SBagwell306Last tradedBonzi-$2,400
- SmishipolisLast tradedBuse+$18.25
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$4,903.44
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$237
- AScrawny-InevitableLast tradedUnder-$250
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$78.23
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedDown+$2,793.11
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown+$20.49
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,503.33
- SBagwell306Last tradedUnder-$1,000
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedUnder-$82
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$279.05
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedDown-$2,059.95
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$25.18
- Called
- Jakub Vrba
- Won
- Jakub Vrba
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedJakub Vrba+$1,887.81
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedJakub Vrba+$389.95
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedJakub Vrba+$20.74
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$74.87
- B0x8e41faaaaea1b6eae4546eca7713066dc05Last tradedUp+$2,265.77
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$31.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$35.38
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedDown-$2,061.04
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$29.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedUp-$2,007.57
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$36.50
- BAzerty999Last tradedDown+$0.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedUp+$2,013.21
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$12.85
- BAzerty999Last tradedUp+$0.89
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$1,141.21
- SZealous-ViolenceLast tradedNo+$376.96
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$302.42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 28?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
- Called
- Fery
- Won
- Kovacevic
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBagwell306Last tradedFery-$1,285.74
- SmishipolisLast tradedFery-$162
- ADCAAALast tradedFery-$77.50
- Called
- Boluspor
- Won
- Muglaspor
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedBoluspor-$1,713.60
- SFlaznorpLast tradedBoluspor-$399.66
- AVD721lsj4938Dk388Last tradedMuglaspor+$601.23
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedNo+$720.30
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$426.92
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$342.87
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedYes+$1,433.90
- SRN1Last tradedYes-$2.16
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedYes+$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$131.42
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedDown+$1,295.94
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$5.84
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$1,604.04
- SBetyourselfLast tradedOver-$227.81
- AXander-XXLast tradedUnder+$0.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$181.62
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedUp+$1,514.04
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$5.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$25.36
- BQuarrelsome-Sari-TellLast tradedUp+$1,251.21
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$4.68
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 28?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- BFaceShotLast tradedYes-$1,081.22
- BbhkMarvinLast tradedYes-$160
- BWeedMann90Last tradedNo+$7.13
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$102
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp+$1,022.17
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$6.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp-$316.20
- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$776.91
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$3.55
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$826.28
- SFlaznorpLast tradedOver+$188.92
- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver+$39.39
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder-$1,052.20
- SHomeRunHazardLast tradedOver+$226.61
- S0xbfD770B7ff0Last tradedUnder-$179.61
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 71%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$373.35
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$596.13
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$3.73
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$851.09
- BFond-OysterLast tradedUp-$43.39
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$3.17
- Called
- Starodubtseva
- Won
- Mertens
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Shi774cLast tradedStarodubtseva-$1,063
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedStarodubtseva+$156.26
- SHard-IroncladLast tradedMertens+$22.63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 27?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaapangLast tradedYes-$454.55
- ARadiant-NonbelieverLast tradedYes-$155.45
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$250.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 27?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaapangLast tradedYes-$454.55
- ARadiant-NonbelieverLast tradedYes-$155.45
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$250.16
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SWell-Informed-WitnessLast tradedOver-$86.38
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver-$46
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedOver-$696.71
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$818.81
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedDown-$1.87
- BAzerty999Last tradedDown+$0.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown+$399.41
- ABonereaperLast tradedDown+$371.54
- BMac4uLast tradedDown+$24.48
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$759.88
- AMyBettingFutureLast tradedUnder+$0.90
- AXander-XXLast tradedUnder+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- AaapangLast tradedYes-$454.55
- BMysariaLast tradedYes-$249.49
- BdonthackmeLast tradedNo-$13.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 50%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedUp-$709.07
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp+$1.36
- BAzerty999Last tradedDown+$0.96
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVeryLucky888Last tradedUnder+$336.06
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder+$100
- A0x9f15…bdb3Last tradedUnder+$265.34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 27?
Wrong- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 27?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABonereaperLast tradedDown-$2.76
- Bsuperman110Last tradedUp-$663.39
- Bnorm1e69Last tradedUp-$3.25
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 3
- Confidence
- 100%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFlaznorpLast tradedUnder+$283.45
- AMr.MachinesLast tradedUnder+$290
- AfooooolLast tradedUnder+$86.33
14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 14,296 more positions across 1,454 markets on this day.