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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Septemvri Sofia win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs 9INE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Rune Eaters
    Won
    Rune Eaters
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$385.78
    • B
      ethyydszLast traded
      Up-$101.17
    • B
      YerimiiLast traded
      Down+$56.24

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: Villarreal CF O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 28?

    No consensus

    Finance

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Up-$193.07
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Up-$101.55
    • B
      jsbelLast traded
      Down-$34.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$96.08
    • S
      funfactsLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$31.61
    • A
      dybasLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$147.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Montpellier HSC vs. US Boulogne Côte d'Opale: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$78.05
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$20.16
    • A
      b118801Last traded
      Under+$333.43

  • Chattanooga vs. West Georgia

    Right

    NCAAF

    Called
    Chattanooga
    Won
    Chattanooga
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      West Georgia-$139.75
    • S
      betdgeLast traded
      Chattanooga-$119.06
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Chattanooga+$20.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Chiba Lotte Marines

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chiba Lotte Marines
    Won
    Nippon Ham Fighters
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 0 Venezia FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$219.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$88.40
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$11.21

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Llaneros FC vs. Millonarios FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 2 - 0 Grêmio FBPA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Rodez Aveyron Football (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Pau FC
    Won
    Pau FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Pau FC+$353.64
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Rodez Aveyron Football-$92.55
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Rodez Aveyron Football-$66.16

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Anas Mazdrashki vs Sebastian Gima

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anas Mazdrashki
    Won
    Anas Mazdrashki
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sebastian Gima-$269.93
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Anas Mazdrashki+$172.92
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Anas Mazdrashki+$31.07

  • Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Kolos Kovalivka vs. FK Obolon Kyiv: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$48.60
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$29.50
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$29.42

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      aannikkLast traded
      Rune Eaters-$113.23
    • A
      kozelblackLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$2.08
    • A
      owlgorithm-betaLast traded
      Black Phoenix+$0.10

  • Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 28?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      zxcursed121Last traded
      Down-$25.84
    • A
      PBot-10Last traded
      Down-$115.81
    • B
      jeevLast traded
      Up-$85.81

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$200.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$20.09
    • A
      acount3Last traded
      Under+$0.29

  • Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$213.72
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$24.58
    • S
      topogrupo1Last traded
      Over+$5.47

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Lille OSC 0 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 14,296 more positions across 1,454 markets on this day.

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