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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      GluedLast traded
      Yes-$24.58
    • A
      plainfolderLast traded
      No-$1.23
    • B
      MysariaLast traded
      Yes-$108.98

  • Uruguay vs. Bahamas

    No consensus

    Basketball

    Won
    Bahamas
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Won
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$238.34
    • B
      ethyydszLast traded
      Up-$100.64
    • B
      ErousLast traded
      Down+$25.11

  • Exact Score: SC Internacional 0 - 2 Grêmio FBPA?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Over+$108.28
    • S
      zxc368Last traded
      Over+$0.72
    • A
      DCAAALast traded
      Under-$162.50

  • Will Trump say "ISS" or "International Space Station" during remarks at NASA?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Den Bosch vs. Vitesse Arnhem: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Darline Graham win at least 50% of votes in the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Delhi Premier League: Central Delhi Kings vs Purani Dilli 6

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Central Delhi Kings
    Won
    Central Delhi Kings
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      03-Last traded
      Central Delhi Kings+$56.94
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Central Delhi Kings-$11.73
    • A
      midwicket72Last traded
      Purani Dilli 6-$177.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$504.18
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under-$500.20
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$185.43

  • Will Gateshead FC vs. Sutton United FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,807.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$2,535.40
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$44.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Llaneros FC 0 - 2 Millonarios FC?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$235.20
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$85.30
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$75.83

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will BetBoom Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs G2 (+3.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit
    Won
    Spirit
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will DENDELE Win the BLAST Open Porto 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Just Swing - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Just Swing
    Won
    Just Swing
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 3 Manchester City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$70
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$26.43
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$6.64

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 2 - 0 Manchester City FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$69.45
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$17.36
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No+$10.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: VfL Bochum (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    VfL Osnabrück
    Won
    VfL Osnabrück
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BOJONG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BOJONG
    Won
    Misa Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Thin-MissLast traded
      BOJONG-$0.42
    • A
      XDDOOOGXDLast traded
      BOJONG-$63.44
    • A
      pupupu12Last traded
      BOJONG-$34.49

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$127.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$47.56
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$29.63

  • Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Arizona Diamondbacks
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Lille OSC O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Top End T20 Series: Hyderabad Kingsmen Academy vs Adelaide Strikers Academy

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Adelaide Strikers Academy
    Won
    Adelaide Strikers Academy
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina), clay: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo Gagliardo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Won
    Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lorenzo Gagliardo-$85.22
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo+$20.44
    • A
      yorius27Last traded
      Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo+$84.79

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Dune Vaissaud vs Bosman Coco

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Bosman Coco
    Won
    Dune Vaissaud
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Villainous
    Won
    Iowa Stormboar
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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