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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
75%
1,404 right474 wrong

All wallets: 86% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
14,844

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Kateryna Diatlova vs Yasmin Ezzat

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yasmin Ezzat
    Won
    Kateryna Diatlova
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,482.37
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$735.04
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$113.66

  • Exact Score: FC CSKA 1948 2 - 0 PFC Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Barracas Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Platense vs. Instituto AC Cordoba: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$690.80
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$179.98
    • A
      Cactus-001Last traded
      Under+$11.41

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ansan Greeners FC vs. Daegu FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$750.58
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$121.30
    • S
      drop1234Last traded
      No-$117.70

  • US Cremonese vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 VfB Stuttgart?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Leviatán Esports (-2.5) vs MIBR (+2.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR
    Won
    Leviatán Esports
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Daegu FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Ansan Greeners FC
    Won
    Ansan Greeners FC
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Ansan Greeners FC+$203.09
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Ansan Greeners FC+$24.22
    • A
      0x9f15…bdb3Last traded
      Ansan Greeners FC+$315.32

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Down+$5.01
    • A
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$621.66
    • B
      ethyydszLast traded
      Up-$101.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$351.25
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$305.70
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes+$107.37

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Grêmio FBPA
    Won
    Grêmio FBPA
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Grêmio FBPA+$268.15
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Grêmio FBPA+$205.80
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      SC Internacional-$128.52

  • Ankara Keciorengucu vs. Umraniyespor: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$651.97
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$76.29
    • A
      us391Last traded
      Over-$449.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Maanshan 8 (China), hard: Tianhui Zhang vs Lingxi Zhao

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tianhui Zhang
    Won
    Tianhui Zhang
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lingxi Zhao-$443.14
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Tianhui Zhang+$50.04
    • S
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Tianhui Zhang-$24.43

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will USL Dunkerque win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$280.76
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$84.31
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$2.65

  • Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s US Open?

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    60%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: UPGRADE vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    Black Phoenix
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Zachary Viiala vs Marko Mesarovic

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Marko Mesarovic
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Shenhua FC leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay: Campana Lee Gerard vs Filip Pieczonka

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Filip Pieczonka
    Won
    Filip Pieczonka
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    5
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,763 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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