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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Invictus Gaming
    Won
    Invictus Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Wrexham AFC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$4,049.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,607.76
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$1,466.53

  • Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Shifters
    Won
    Shifters
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jordan vs. Philippines

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Philippines
    Won
    Philippines
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$9,018.15
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$1,260.35
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$854.84

  • Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier Group B

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Ares
    Won
    Rune Eaters
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will NEOM SC win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No+$1,225.69
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,202.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$546.76

  • Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leviatán Esports
    Won
    Leviatán Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leviatán Esports
    Won
    Leviatán Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Patriots vs. Browns

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Browns
    Won
    Browns
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 27?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$18.83
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$1.48
    • A
      protrade3Last traded
      Yes-$69.55

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$76.01
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$19.21
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$10.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ukraine vs. Greece

    Right

    Basketball

    Called
    Ukraine
    Won
    Ukraine
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CD La Equidad Seguros win on 2026-08-26?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      No+$1,440.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$578.28
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$388.02

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,511.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$596.37
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over-$66.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 28?

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia: Tereza Valentova vs Julia Grabher

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Tereza Valentova
    Won
    Tereza Valentova
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Tereza Valentova+$2,429.67
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Tereza Valentova-$889.16
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tereza Valentova+$259.50

  • Valorant: FUT Esports vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Karmine Corp
    Won
    Karmine Corp
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$362.74
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$34.36
    • S
      Rock.SanLast traded
      Yes+$2.13

  • Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Instituto AC Cordoba win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: DRX vs T1 - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Team Phantasma vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Won
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports-$419.27
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$166.14
    • S
      ameisgoat11Last traded
      Team Phantasma-$25.96

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$281.40
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$265.82
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$102.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      No+$3,005.95
    • A
      0xb6fe…7394Last traded
      No+$944.94
    • A
      ComTruiseLast traded
      No+$326.48

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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