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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

Settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$143.71
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$139.30
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$124.34

  • Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$12,890.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$5,097.76
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$4,777.74

  • Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$3,061.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$2,506.59
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,112.50

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      Yes+$4,457.15
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$199.53
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$24.50

  • Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Won
    Los Angeles Dodgers
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • VfL Bochum vs. VfL Osnabrück: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,656.65
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,204.27
    • S
      spendingmoneyLast traded
      Under+$592.90

  • Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      No-$2,212.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$403.92
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$228.59

  • Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-08-27?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    NRG
    Won
    NRG
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: George Loffhagen vs Michele Ribecai

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    George Loffhagen
    Won
    George Loffhagen
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$1,430.26
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$942.89
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$887.50

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      No-$212.59
    • A
      gt197Last traded
      No+$34.04
    • A
      1881aaLast traded
      No+$22.38

  • Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Racing Club (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Elche CF
    Won
    Elche CF
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Elche CF+$2,909.74
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Real Racing Club-$1,250
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Real Racing Club-$891.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$131.99
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$107.56
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down-$86.19

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 28?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$240.21
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$9.11
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$1.35

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Games Total: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Verbier 2 (Switzerland), clay: Anastasija Cvetkovic vs Valeriya Strakhova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anastasija Cvetkovic
    Won
    Anastasija Cvetkovic
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$4,277.41
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$3,149.31
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$3,114.37

  • Games Total: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Bayern München leading at halftime?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,042.63
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$754.12
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Under-$409.95

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,606.82
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over+$644.55
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$250.62

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$1,492.72
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under+$472.78
    • S
      roberto73Last traded
      Under-$239.45

  • Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$576.80
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$218.03
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$210.12

  • Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Team Lynx
    Won
    Spirit Academy
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,344.01
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$563.67
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$329.56

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$314.96
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$209.03
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$73.54

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mr.oziLast traded
      Yes-$3,770.56
    • S
      SnowLover7Last traded
      Yes-$3,226.14
    • S
      whigLast traded
      No-$242.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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