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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Isurus (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Keyd
    Won
    Isurus
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    MEIA NOITE
    Won
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Contingent Esports vs University of Mississippi - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Contingent Esports
    Won
    Contingent Esports
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$624.74
    • A
      opopv3Last traded
      Yes+$124.64
    • A
      Fair-TanLast traded
      Yes+$118.33

  • Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Inner Circle - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs QUB (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Phantom Academy
    Won
    QUB
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$794.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$518.20
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$178.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle Academy
    Won
    Inner Circle Academy
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      SPARTA-$361.56
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Inner Circle Academy+$263.31
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      SPARTA-$95.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Down+$531.86
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$177.55
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$167.80

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$1,253.86
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,079.07
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Over-$659.86

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will ASC Oțelul Galați win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 161.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Cincinnati Reds
    Won
    Cincinnati Reds
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gmpm2Last traded
      Chicago Cubs-$19,936.12
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$5,621.11
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Cincinnati Reds+$3,447.05

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Modena FC 2018 win on 2026-08-28?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$3,977.43
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      No-$3,500
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$2,778.88

  • Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Lynx
    Won
    Team Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$980.77
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$918.66
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$267.14

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Team Liquid vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will KRC Genk win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$2,319.56
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Yes+$338.11
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$304.70

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    DYNASTY
    Won
    DYNASTY
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes-$445.26
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      No+$151.56
    • A
      0xb6fe…7394Last traded
      No+$129.58

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs FTS - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Phoenix Mercury
    Won
    Washington Mystics
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 29,903 more positions across 2,489 markets on this day.

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