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Resolution reportFriday, August 28, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
77%
2,324 right702 wrong

All wallets: 87% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
16,722
No consensus
13,696

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 7,807 provider closure; 8,915 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Group A

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    HAVU
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

    Right

    Science

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    33%

    Provider closure:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Invictus Gaming
    Won
    Invictus Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: NRG vs LOUD - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    LOUD
    Won
    LOUD
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$10,688.34
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$2,451.77
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,016.83

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 27?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      Yes+$169.54
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$68.22
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$7.29

  • Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Lavked (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    INOX Division
    Won
    INOX Division
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Darja Semenistaja vs Storm Hunter

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Storm Hunter
    Won
    Storm Hunter
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Storm Hunter+$3,133.73
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Darja Semenistaja+$2,132.85
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Storm Hunter+$221.59

  • Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ODDIK
    Won
    ODDIK
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Kristina Liutova vs Martyna Kubka

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kristina Liutova
    Won
    Kristina Liutova
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Kristina Liutova+$1,443.75
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Kristina Liutova+$885.58
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Kristina Liutova-$737.22

  • Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$1,118.16
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$850.40
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$88.57

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$586.93
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$460.33
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      No-$385.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    New York Mets
    Won
    Milwaukee Brewers
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-08-28?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: NuTorious vs Elusive (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Elusive
    Won
    Elusive
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Nemiga Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: DRX vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    T1
    Won
    T1
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Yes-$904.71
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$651.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$442.33

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 28?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$15,426.88
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Under-$4,963
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,826.20

  • Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Lille OSC
    Won
    Lille OSC
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Real Racing Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 5.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over-$2,998.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,501.88
    • S
      FlaznorpLast traded
      Over-$1,302.40

  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes-$2,415.98
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$228.92
    • S
      kingofcoinflipsLast traded
      No+$73.36

13,587 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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