Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$141.11
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$103.74
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$91.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$477.31
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$220.11
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$206.59

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$257.10
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$131.06
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$115.63

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    42
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Won
    ROSSMANN Centaurs
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      ROSSMANN Centaurs+$1,488.73
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$513.13
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$424.93

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$338.63
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$248.82
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down-$89.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$180.34
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$177.92
    • S
      GoodFallenLast traded
      Down-$111.46

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Cina
    Won
    Federico Cina
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Federico Cina+$1,829.62
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Luca Nardi+$733.63
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Federico Cina+$658.17

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$219.03
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$126.80
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$60.87

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$234.27
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$164.70
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$125.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    41
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Won
    Juan Manuel La Serna
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Juan Manuel La Serna+$7,528.28
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Benjamin Hassan-$2,596.92
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Juan Manuel La Serna+$1,637.19

  • LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$8,359.24
    • S
      lightningboltsLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$1,502.32
    • S
      Sunshine.SmileLast traded
      ROSSMANN Centaurs-$1,088.78

  • Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Atlanta Dream
    Won
    Atlanta Dream
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Raphael Perot vs Mika Brunold

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Raphael Perot
    Won
    Mika Brunold
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Sabah FK
    Won
    Sabah FK
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sabah FK+$16,068.50
    • S
      jtwyslljyLast traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva-$7,057.26
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Sabah FK+$2,085.14

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Luca Van Assche vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Won
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$372.95
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$215.89
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$184.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$178.46
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$167.39
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$148.25

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down+$63.27
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Down+$25.31
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down+$18.16

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    40
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$264.04
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$193.50
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$190.58

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    1WIN
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$418.96
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$357.73
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$177.55

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$252.63
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$234
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$189.87

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs