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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$596.61
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$372.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$320.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$357
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$294.57
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$292.85

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$324.29
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$316.86
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$290.03

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinka

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniil Glinka
    Won
    Daniil Glinka
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Pedro Martinez-$125,134.70
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pedro Martinez-$20,603.31
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Pedro Martinez-$5,972.50

  • Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    PuckChamp
    Won
    PuckChamp
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$207.74
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$133.46
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$129.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    46
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$506.53
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down+$495.09
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$259.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nemiga Gaming
    Won
    Nemiga Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$234
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$210.05
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$176.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$335.38
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$195.97
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$126.99

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$279.98
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$278.25
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$137.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$152.53
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$134.09
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$103.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    45
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halys

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Won
    Benjamin Bonzi
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Benjamin Bonzi+$29,939.21
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Quentin Halys-$7,154.80
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Benjamin Bonzi+$5,297.63

  • Will Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$1,446.57
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down-$220.96
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up-$199.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$309.85
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$291.32
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$284.70

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    44
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$23.19
    • A
      PrexpectLast traded
      Yes+$3,548.74
    • A
      Mac-GyverLast traded
      Yes+$2,177.15

  • Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Diane Parry
    Won
    Diane Parry
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$3,022.67
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      Under-$682.09
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Over+$568.76

  • Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Up+$650.41
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$484.63
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$424.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$394.88
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$162.67
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$126

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$164.13
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$108
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$69.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    43
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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