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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    55
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ndb1Last traded
      No+$50,000.03
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$6,146.20
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$2,784.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up-$807.06
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$757.99
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$689.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$444.83
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$276.67
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$215.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    54
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$652.05
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$262.34
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$261.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$1,183.84
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$907.48
    • S
      0x50f7Last traded
      Up+$875.97

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    53
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$23,036.79
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$11,251.47
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,270.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Down-$601.73
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$365.53
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$277.08

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    52
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Laura Samson vs Tamara Zidansek

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Laura Samson
    Won
    Tamara Zidansek
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alex Bolt
    Won
    Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Pablo Llamas Ruiz+$20,412.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Pablo Llamas Ruiz+$6,831.51
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Pablo Llamas Ruiz+$3,005.04

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Michael Mmoh

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Mmoh
    Won
    Henrique Rocha
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    51
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Dusan Lajovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dusan Lajovic
    Won
    Dusan Lajovic
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Dusan Lajovic+$47,032.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Soon-Woo Kwon-$8,100.33
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Dusan Lajovic+$1,780.08

  • Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Dhakshineswar Suresh

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Dhakshineswar Suresh
    Won
    Juan Manuel Cerundolo
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh-$7,552.24
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Juan Manuel Cerundolo+$1,732.43
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Dhakshineswar Suresh-$1,264.72

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$402.22
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$379.51
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$214.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    50
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$9,495.31
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$4,533.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      San Diego Padres-$2,409.84

  • Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      LolakisLast traded
      Yes+$146.28
    • S
      mr.oziLast traded
      Yes+$116.15
    • S
      StarMasterLast traded
      Yes+$33.95

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      honey-spotLast traded
      Up+$352.09
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$95.70
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$88.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$1,176.75
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$763.04
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$251.91

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$90.87
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$86.83
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$84.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    49
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$144.10
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$129.05
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$101.08

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Hon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Priscilla Hon
    Won
    Priscilla Hon
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Alice Tubello-$33,373.28
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Priscilla Hon+$13,136.08
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Priscilla Hon+$5,726.42

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Won
    Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$585.29
    • S
      aomendushen008Last traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition-$334.95
    • S
      Harmonious-FogLast traded
      Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition+$133.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    48
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arantxa Rus
    Won
    Arantxa Rus
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    LASK Linz
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      LASK Linz+$17,777.20
    • S
      CypyaLast traded
      Celtic FC-$15,093.38
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Celtic FC+$4,566.79

  • Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Spirit Academy
    Won
    RE.Arise
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Suzan Lamens vs Emerson Jones

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Suzan Lamens
    Won
    Suzan Lamens
    Profitable wallets
    47
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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