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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$254.18
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$129.48
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Up-$120.50

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$213.61
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$176.65
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$80.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    39
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$14,904.09
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$9,607.35
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$6,926.48

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Milavsky
    Won
    Shintaro Mochizuki
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$113.29
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$110.05
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$107.51

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$207.64
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$147.72
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down-$140.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    38
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      JsramLast traded
      Yes+$3,099.74
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      No+$1,734.48
    • S
      ZhangMuZhi..Last traded
      Yes+$1,037.83

  • Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonald

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Cezar Cretu
    Won
    Cezar Cretu
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cezar Cretu+$7,206.94
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Cezar Cretu-$3,294.64
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Niels McDonald-$988.26

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$141.14
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$137.90
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    37
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$2,779.11
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$1,448.34
    • S
      SunlineTickerLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$1,391.04

  • Winston-Salem Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejo

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Adolfo Vallejo
    Won
    Botic van de Zandschulp
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUSTEC
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$222.26
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$197.13
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down+$139.69

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibino

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Janae Preston
    Won
    Nao Hibino
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Nao Hibino+$7,259.45
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Janae Preston-$1,034.98
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Janae Preston-$540

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$261.54
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$138.35
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$123.24

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    36
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 23.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Over+$11,974.58
    • S
      cruzzzzLast traded
      Over+$5,717.70
    • S
      roundtrippedLast traded
      Over+$5,671.14

  • Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Renata Zarazua

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Renata Zarazua
    Won
    Clara Tauson
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Renata Zarazua-$8,788.66
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Renata Zarazua-$8,299.16
    • S
      03-Last traded
      Renata Zarazua-$2,892.76

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,904.76
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Over+$1,966.97
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Over+$294.98

  • LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    SU Esports
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up+$222.20
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$176.44
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up+$163.09

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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