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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 25?

    Right

    SPX

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Forsaken
    Won
    DOCISK
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      opopv3Last traded
      No-$14.35
    • A
      shanze8Last traded
      No+$9.96
    • B
      SZ9558Last traded
      Yes-$211.46

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      No-$312.40
    • S
      e46m3Last traded
      Yes+$0.94
    • B
      GoodLuck68886Last traded
      Yes+$9.70

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Junlu Sun vs Yuzuha Negishi

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Junlu Sun
    Won
    Yuzuha Negishi
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Dominika Salkova
    Won
    Dominika Salkova
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Akasha Urhobo-$207.87
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Dominika Salkova+$69.39
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Dominika Salkova-$2.38

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$326.76
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$155.99
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Over+$21.17

  • Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$366.96
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No-$97.84
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$63

  • BNB Up or Down - August 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Pietro Fellin vs Miguel Tobon

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Miguel Tobon
    Won
    Miguel Tobon
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Vladimir Osminkin vs Reiya Komagata

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Reiya Komagata
    Won
    Reiya Komagata
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Vladimir Osminkin-$3,393.75
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Reiya Komagata+$32.91
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Reiya Komagata+$95.61

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Ares
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Little-bigLast traded
      Down+$151.49
    • A
      FatSlagLast traded
      Down+$26.02
    • A
      c4acapLast traded
      Down+$5

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$230.08
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$21.43
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$3.62

  • Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      Over+$209.85
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$71.68
    • A
      LaarsYLast traded
      Under-$140

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: Valencia CF O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: TEAM XDM vs 5star (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    TEAM XDM
    Won
    TEAM XDM
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Klim Sani4
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      web3BossLast traded
      Klim Sani4+$94.38
    • A
      FishingCakeLast traded
      Klim Sani4+$2.20
    • B
      Juicy-RoomLast traded
      Klim Sani4+$50.77

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$304.31
    • B
      alexbitaLast traded
      Yes-$152.69
    • B
      big-bird1Last traded
      Yes-$23.09

  • Will "My Brilliant Career: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Valencia CF 3 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$45
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$30.76
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$18.46

  • Will CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$71.10
    • S
      CarLast traded
      Yes+$13.45
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Yes+$13.45

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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