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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ipswich Town FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$15,370.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$6,304.65
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over+$3,598.04

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Charleston Battery vs. Miami FC: Miami FC 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,498.83
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$702.54
    • S
      MiLiveLast traded
      Under+$35.54

  • Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Boston Red Sox
    Won
    Boston Red Sox
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Boston Red Sox+$1,483.02
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$409.60
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Boston Red Sox+$279.20

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Uttar Pradesh T20: Kanpur Superstars vs Meerut Mavericks

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Meerut Mavericks
    Won
    Meerut Mavericks
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$300.17
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Over-$191.86
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$81.83

  • Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 3 - 2 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BET-M 33
    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Osters IF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    GIF Sundsvall
    Won
    GIF Sundsvall
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Everton de Viña del Mar win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$2,099.31
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Yes+$10.23
    • A
      us391Last traded
      No-$3,186.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      Mac-GyverLast traded
      Yes-$244.33
    • A
      PrexpectLast traded
      Yes-$71.46
    • B
      ihrekunstLast traded
      Yes-$151.28

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 25?

    Wrong

    Stocks

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orebro SK vs. Varbergs BoIS: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Naho Sato vs Lingyou Ge

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Lingyou Ge
    Won
    Naho Sato
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Lingyou Ge-$324.77
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Lingyou Ge-$184.48
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Lingyou Ge-$104.59

  • Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$401.78
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$391.88
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Yes+$62.36

  • ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Han Shi vs Shiyu Ye

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Han Shi
    Won
    Han Shi
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Han Shi+$491.61
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Han Shi+$28.59
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Han Shi+$17.87

  • Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 24?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Juan Mano vs Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alejandro Juan Mano
    Won
    Alejandro Juan Mano
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez-$849.40
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez-$121.87
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Alejandro Juan Mano+$86.78

  • Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tobol Kostanay win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$193.84
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$193.03
    • A
      PPMTLast traded
      No-$8.68

  • Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-25?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$119.73
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$196.61
    • B
      pangloz99Last traded
      No+$169.65

  • Will Lions FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No+$127.39
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No+$93.08
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.99

  • Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: WLGaming Esports vs The ParadOx Invaders (BO3) - HLL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    WLGaming Esports
    Won
    WLGaming Esports
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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