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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$432.44
    • S
      GordinhoDoAlfaLast traded
      Under-$393.15
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$350.59

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      alohaaLast traded
      Under+$94.43
    • A
      -reefLast traded
      Under+$19.94
    • A
      traderx9Last traded
      Under+$8.09

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Forsaken
    Won
    Forsaken
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$36.69
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Over-$22.70
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$19.03

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 160-179 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Mario Mansilla Diez vs Jose Dominguez Alonso

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Won
    Jose Dominguez Alonso
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jose Dominguez Alonso+$455.02
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Jose Dominguez Alonso+$69.80
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Mario Mansilla Diez-$36.57

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Aq Jol win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      archaicLast traded
      No+$28.39
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$0.01
    • A
      nicoco89Last traded
      Yes-$66.01

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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