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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Poznan Men: Gerard Campana Lee vs Jiri Cizek

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Gerard Campana Lee
    Won
    Gerard Campana Lee
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Gerard Campana Lee+$1,006.97
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Gerard Campana Lee+$260.52
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Gerard Campana Lee+$26.42

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$356.19
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$1.60
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$280.42

  • ITF M15 Bucharest 3 Men: Alexandru Hebhang Balan vs Lucian Stefan Andrei

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandru Hebhang Balan
    Won
    Lucian Stefan Andrei
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Alexandru Hebhang Balan-$402.15
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Alexandru Hebhang Balan-$188.45
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Alexandru Hebhang Balan-$173.11

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-6.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SunlineTickerLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$669.38
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$360.96
    • S
      sportmaster777Last traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$82.61

  • Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Taipei 2 Men: Kosuke Ogura vs Tomohiro Masabayashi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kosuke Ogura
    Won
    Kosuke Ogura
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Kosuke Ogura+$189.53
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Tomohiro Masabayashi-$124
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Kosuke Ogura+$94.78

  • Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
    Won
    Al Ettifaq Saudi Club
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Al Ettifaq Saudi Club+$907.65
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Al Ettifaq Saudi Club-$554.84
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Al Ettifaq Saudi Club+$76.98

  • Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Maanshan 8 Men: Xin Zhou vs Shaoyun Liu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Shaoyun Liu
    Won
    Shaoyun Liu
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 25?

    Right

    Finance

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?

    No consensus

    Stocks

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Syntax vs Klim Sani4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Klim Sani4
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Color vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Color
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Color+$67.19
    • A
      pupupu12Last traded
      Color+$87.68
    • A
      GOLDCRYPT12Last traded
      Butterfly-$85.25

  • Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    G2 Ares
    Won
    ex-RUSTEC
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      flawfenceLast traded
      Yes-$157.73
    • S
      aenews2Last traded
      Yes-$109.03
    • S
      M888Last traded
      Yes-$89.94

  • Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Don’t Say Good Luck" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?

    Wrong

    SPX

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Orebro SK vs. Varbergs BoIS end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Barueri Women: Romina Ccuno vs Laura Badia

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Romina Ccuno
    Won
    Romina Ccuno
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Laura Badia-$537.53
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Romina Ccuno+$41.23
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Romina Ccuno+$37.99

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Mansão Maromba - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Procyon Gaming
    Won
    Procyon Gaming
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Won
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      KiruaTradingLast traded
      No+$198.10
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      No-$18.02
    • B
      PeroukkasLast traded
      Yes+$143.72

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    86%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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