Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Peladona
    Won
    Peladona
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Oleksii Krutykh vs Matias Soto

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matias Soto
    Won
    Matias Soto
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Team Synapse-$52.76
    • B
      mi-linhLast traded
      Team Synapse-$401.37
    • B
      Vincent313Last traded
      Inner Circle+$334.77

  • Spread: MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva (-1.5)

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Sabah FK
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva-$476.52
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Sabah FK-$308.33
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva-$104

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$132.21
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over-$58.19
    • A
      foxchaserLast traded
      Over+$78.72

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Eva Vedder vs Bianca Andreescu

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Bianca Andreescu
    Won
    Bianca Andreescu
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      CattailLast traded
      No-$129.60
    • A
      AJSVLast traded
      Yes+$89.50
    • A
      Bromley86Last traded
      Yes+$67.90

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$22.99
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$7.23
    • A
      Little-bigLast traded
      Down-$112.77

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$69.76
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No+$61.22
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$11.77

  • Roehampton 2: Leonardo Rossi vs Charles Broom

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Charles Broom
    Won
    Charles Broom
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will JSDP win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    BORRACHEIROS
    Won
    BORRACHEIROS
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M15 Allershausen Men: Hazem Naw vs Bruno Fernandez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Hazem Naw
    Won
    Hazem Naw
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will SK Brann Kvinner win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Detroit Tigers
    Won
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Over-$438.72
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Under+$63.38
    • A
      dv-pmLast traded
      Over-$2,733.63

  • Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-08-25?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Won
    Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$1,823.87
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports+$2.07
    • A
      Shameful-SundaeLast traded
      Spartans EU-$249.51

  • Celtic FC leading at halftime?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      theZok1Last traded
      No+$465.38
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      No+$303.84
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$16.23

  • KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz

    No consensus

    Baseball

    Won
    Doosan Bears
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    NC Dinos
    Won
    LG Twins
    Profitable wallets
    9
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs