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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Real Betis Balompié
    Won
    Real Betis Balompié
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Ushiras
    Won
    Ushiras
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      Arashi GC-$975.36
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Ushiras+$42.63
    • A
      Mushy-FinerLast traded
      Ushiras+$294.89

  • Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$1,339.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$763.54
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$62.95

  • Will Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,459.59
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$104.68
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$24.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    IMHOWeRGOAT
    Won
    IMHOWeRGOAT
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      eanvanezygvLast traded
      IMHOWeRGOAT+$210.91
    • A
      FinHealLast traded
      IMHOWeRGOAT+$3,304.12
    • A
      pnhkybLast traded
      300FPS-$1,325.66

  • Will Orebro SK win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Solana reach $100 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Southampton FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,410.57
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$136.51
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$3.84

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    1WIN
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Andijon win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$732.89
    • S
      theZok1Last traded
      Yes+$526.23
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$245.90

  • Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-24?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

    Right

    Culture

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Won
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Lenovo Legion Honvéd+$3.82
    • A
      Naive-BladeLast traded
      MAGAZA-$2,042.12
    • A
      am100Last traded
      MAGAZA-$1,481.01

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Elena Milovanovic vs Lucija Ciric Bagaric

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Elena Milovanovic
    Won
    Elena Milovanovic
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Elena Milovanovic+$1,198.03
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Lucija Ciric Bagaric-$69.59
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Elena Milovanovic-$91.97

  • Will Walsall FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Black Phoenix
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Black Phoenix-$27.77
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Black Phoenix-$286.18
    • A
      anyjezzLast traded
      Black Phoenix-$241.56

  • Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    LASK Linz
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      LASK Linz+$91.80
    • S
      bluddLast traded
      LASK Linz+$32.95
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      LASK Linz+$10.70

  • Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$542.21
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$375.44
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$423.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Valencia CF
    Won
    Valencia CF
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Valencia CF+$384.40
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Real Betis Balompié-$296.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Valencia CF+$59.11

  • Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    Yawara Esports
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    68%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Black Phoenix - Map 1 Winner

    No consensus

    Esports

    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Marko Maric vs Henry Bernet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Henry Bernet
    Won
    Henry Bernet
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Marko Maric-$330.79
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Marko Maric-$88.08
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Henry Bernet+$39.68

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-RUBY
    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ShindeN
    Won
    ShindeN
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Doncaster Rovers FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$179.56
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$94.16
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$29.72

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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