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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    The Bandits
    Won
    The Bandits
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Bebop
    Won
    Revise
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      DonkooLast traded
      Bebop-$821.39
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      Bebop-$26.87
    • A
      AbsingLast traded
      Bebop-$710.23
  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$120.80
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$98.03
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$77.43
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$592.83
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over+$490.90
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$387.41
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    SU Esports
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Thomas Fancutt
    Won
    Thomas Fancutt
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?

    No consensus

    Politics

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      aswfadq1555Last traded
      Up+$71.40
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$56.03
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$51.11
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Andrew Fenty
    Won
    Andrew Fenty
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Andrew Fenty+$75.13
    • S
      HVABLast traded
      Alvaro Guillen Meza+$38.29
    • S
      UlamTriXLast traded
      Andrew Fenty+$30.78
  • Tennis

    Called
    Patrick Brady
    Won
    Patrick Brady
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Coleman Wong
    Won
    Coleman Wong
    Profitable wallets
    10
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.