Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled
Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.
All wallets: 89% on the same markets.
No settlement updates pending.
- Markets resolved
- 17,231
- No consensus
- 14,563
How a resolution report is scored
A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.
A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.
Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.
All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.
Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.
Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.
Markets with profitable wallets' positions
Every market result with the trader positions on it.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 25?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 60%
Profitable wallets' positions- SImpressive-SteakLast tradedNo+$605.42
- Scoinman2Last tradedNo+$238.37
- AgobblewobbleLast tradedNo+$587.72
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$524.20
- SSnakeBallLast tradedYes-$26.38
- SARocky33Last tradedNo+$3.92
- Called
- Yes
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedNo+$252.15
- StheZok1Last tradedYes+$125.93
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$94.52
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on August 24?
Wrong- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 29%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$56.08
- APontiusPilateLast tradedNo-$183.94
- Aneo7777Last tradedNo-$87
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSnakeBallLast tradedOver-$277.29
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedUnder-$96.95
- S38791873984189Last tradedOver-$29.17
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 24?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- Sopopv.Last tradedYes+$166.31
- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo-$92.62
- AOnlyLuckNoBrainLast tradedNo-$68.48
- Called
- The Bandits
- Won
- The Bandits
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- Spauleta23Last tradedDynasty-$62.80
- S0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415fLast tradedDynasty-$45.12
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThe Bandits+$19.48
- Called
- Bebop
- Won
- Revise
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SDonkooLast tradedBebop-$821.39
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedBebop-$26.87
- AAbsingLast tradedBebop-$710.23
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 24?
Right- Called
- Yes
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 67%
Profitable wallets' positions- ABeginnersLuck2Last tradedYes+$0.56
- BelvanozeinLast tradedYes+$187.48
- Brocky42019Last tradedNo-$84.27
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 6%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$102.57
- Saswfadq1555Last tradedUp-$79.76
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$32.51
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 72%
Profitable wallets' positions- SUpTheBluesLast tradedYes-$120.80
- SRN1Last tradedNo+$98.03
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedNo+$77.43
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 9%
Profitable wallets' positions- SRN1Last tradedUnder-$592.83
- SVeryLucky888Last tradedOver+$490.90
- SUpTheBluesLast tradedUnder-$387.41
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 46%
Profitable wallets' positions- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$122.60
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$50.44
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$48.96
- Called
- SU Esports
- Won
- SU Esports
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 85%
Profitable wallets' positions- Scalculate10Last tradedSU Esports+$269.84
- SRandomGameBetLast tradedSU Esports+$39.79
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedSU Esports+$28.78
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 18%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$143.29
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown-$56.82
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp+$47.55
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?
Right- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SCb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedLast tradedNo+$11.60
- ALiquidatedDegenLast tradedYes-$156.38
- AnorthdrawerLast tradedNo-$12
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedUp-$76.87
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$21.08
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$15.51
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 14%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$137.79
- Sdrfc4eybh7i8Last tradedUp+$5.61
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$5.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 33%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$628.51
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$341.25
- APolkadot-FrogLast tradedDown+$298.22
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$263
- SohioismLast tradedUp+$162.85
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp-$111.74
- Called
- No
- Won
- No
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 94%
Profitable wallets' positions- SGC-PLast tradedNo+$100
- SKnightDasCapitalLast tradedNo+$100
- SSnakeBallLast tradedNo+$91.76
- Called
- Thomas Fancutt
- Won
- Thomas Fancutt
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedKarl Poling-$223.55
- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedThomas Fancutt-$187.33
- Somnibus-076daaLast tradedKarl Poling-$149.77
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 83%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedDown+$118.60
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$70.88
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$43.18
- Called
- No
- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 8%
Profitable wallets' positions- A-reefLast tradedNo-$61.38
- ALeLynxMalynxLast tradedNo-$31.32
- Bkiwi.beanLast tradedNo-$199
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 70%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$44.48
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$38.30
- SwqewqaLast tradedUp+$37.86
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 27%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$67.85
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown-$66.29
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$48.15
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$61.43
- Strinity42Last tradedDown-$41.70
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$25.79
Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Down
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 3%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedDown-$66.35
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp+$48.59
- Smo-moneyLast tradedDown-$32.36
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
No consensus- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedDown-$215.44
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$90.74
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$53.78
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$132.52
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$91.32
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$53.02
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$51.76
- Saswfadq1555Last tradedDown+$49.71
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$42.86
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 11%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedUp-$102.68
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp+$97.01
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedUp+$49.97
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$33.27
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedUp-$27.93
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$18.82
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?
No consensus- Won
- Yes
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SFrozenParasiteLast tradedNo+$147.86
- SmrworldwideLast tradedYes+$14.81
- AArmageddonRewardsBillyLast tradedNo-$493.94
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$119.18
- SStimulating-PowerLast tradedDown-$59.92
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp+$49.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 74%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$42.59
- Saswfadq1555Last tradedDown+$39.79
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$29.17
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 38%
Profitable wallets' positions- Saswfadq1555Last tradedUp+$71.40
- SgabigolLast tradedUp+$56.03
- SohioismLast tradedDown-$51.11
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 25%
Profitable wallets' positions- SalmachLast tradedUp-$106.36
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$96.48
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown+$86.51
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Wrong- Called
- Up
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 20%
Profitable wallets' positions- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$121.15
- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$93.14
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$87.46
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Right- Called
- Up
- Won
- Up
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 54%
Profitable wallets' positions- S38791873984189Last tradedUp+$113.22
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown-$50.13
- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedDown-$27.02
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 39%
Profitable wallets' positions- SBonereaperLast tradedUp-$53.53
- SwqewqaLast tradedDown+$36.23
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$25.21
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 4%
Profitable wallets' positions- SVigilant-EnvironmentLast tradedUnder+$434.68
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedOver-$280.67
- SsentrioLast tradedUnder+$144.47
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 11
- Confidence
- 58%
Profitable wallets' positions- SOhioRiskManagementLast tradedUp-$57.59
- SBonereaperLast tradedDown+$43.03
- SAgile-SpacingLast tradedDown+$36.22
- Called
- Under
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 36%
Profitable wallets' positions- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedUnder-$356.94
- SAdorable-AcquaintanceLast tradedOver+$237.40
- S38791873984189Last tradedUnder-$132.83
- Won
- Under
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 0%
Profitable wallets' positions- SSubstantial-ServiceLast tradedOver-$9,400
- SAnonymousUsernameLast tradedOver-$2,799.32
- SBoomLaLaLast tradedUnder+$340.30
- Called
- Over
- Won
- Over
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 23%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedOver+$5,745.97
- SRN1Last tradedOver+$4,374.86
- SshoemanhereLast tradedOver+$511.54
- Called
- Andrew Fenty
- Won
- Andrew Fenty
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 4%
- Called
- Patrick Brady
- Won
- Patrick Brady
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 40%
Profitable wallets' positions- SferrariChampions2026Last tradedPatrick Brady-$4,521.70
- SthestingsnakeLast tradedPatrick Brady+$31.24
- AScornful-Gym-RetreatLast tradedPatrick Zahraj-$520.75
Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Right- Called
- Down
- Won
- Down
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 56%
Profitable wallets' positions- SjustdanceLast tradedUp-$4,659.73
- SLively-AuthenticityLast tradedDown+$526.84
- SalmachLast tradedDown+$84.91
- Called
- Coleman Wong
- Won
- Coleman Wong
- Profitable wallets
- 10
- Confidence
- 17%
Profitable wallets' positions- AXYZ7676Last tradedElmer Moeller-$1,820
- AnoxmeLast tradedColeman Wong-$37.62
- B00XyXyzzyxzzqyej233j2j32h4h35Last tradedColeman Wong-$1,316.46
14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions
Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.
Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.