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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ReThink vs FaZe Up Next (BO3) - United21 Group B

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FaZe Up Next
    Won
    FaZe Up Next
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$177.14
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$90.18
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$72.32

  • Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$1.78
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes-$60.63
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$14.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Colorado Rockies
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Auda Riga win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$3,103.95
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Yes+$47.26
    • S
      SyrrokLast traded
      Yes+$13.60

  • Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Francisco Giants
    Won
    San Francisco Giants
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$3,970.95
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under-$940
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Under-$937.12

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Katarzyna Kawa

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Ekaterine Gorgodze
    Won
    Ekaterine Gorgodze
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Ekaterine Gorgodze+$59
    • A
      avo-edgeLast traded
      Ekaterine Gorgodze+$3,282.63
    • A
      0x9b11…5375Last traded
      Ekaterine Gorgodze+$186.90

  • Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Laslo Djere vs Alexandre Muller

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alexandre Muller
    Won
    Alexandre Muller
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    94%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Alexandre Muller+$2,766.43
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Alexandre Muller+$310.76
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Alexandre Muller+$305.67

  • CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajda

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    Won
    Jack Pinnington Jones
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Jack Pinnington Jones+$643.19
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Jack Pinnington Jones+$560.83
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Jack Pinnington Jones+$164.43

  • Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Leicester City FC
    Won
    Ipswich Town FC
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    LASK Linz
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      LASK Linz+$529
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      LASK Linz+$480
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Celtic FC+$64.43

  • Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 159.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$405.75
    • S
      Corrupt-HornLast traded
      Over+$184.72
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Over+$123.64

  • ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Karolina Kozakova vs Noelia Manta

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Karolina Kozakova
    Won
    Noelia Manta
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      The-JokerLast traded
      Yes+$1,390.12
    • S
      mombilLast traded
      No-$279.04
    • S
      mrworldwideLast traded
      Yes+$6.36

  • Kerala Cricket League T20: Alleppey Ripples vs Aries Kollam Sailors

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    Aries Kollam Sailors
    Won
    Aries Kollam Sailors
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$309.28
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$47.47
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$386.69

  • Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs Damajuana - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Damajuana
    Won
    Damajuana
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will it rain during the Dutch Grand Prix?

    Right

    Formula 1

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes+$18.36
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      Yes+$182.53
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      Yes+$135.66

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    11
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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