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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Down+$30.08
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$27.96
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Down+$16.58

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$50.08
    • A
      shanze8Last traded
      No+$133.33
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No+$59.47

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$640
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$640
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$559.37

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$89.90
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down+$84.73
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$71.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: FTS vs PuckChamp (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    FTS
    Won
    PuckChamp
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$1,186.41
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$62.19
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$4.66

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$3,715.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$656.39
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Over-$195.66

  • Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,742.06
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Over-$841.87
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$732.74

  • Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Won
    Kiwoom DRX Challengers
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs MEIA NOITE (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bounty Hunters Esports
    Won
    Bounty Hunters Esports
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Won
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Fuego
    Won
    Fuego
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Fuego+$5
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Fuego+$0.96
    • A
      MissingJoyLast traded
      Fuego+$1,133.89

  • Will FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,470.85
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$240.97
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$105.10

  • Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$1,007.99
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$280
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$280

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Mitchell Krueger

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
    Won
    Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$559.72
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$297.31
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$234.18

  • Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Zeu5 Esports
    Won
    Fuego
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W15 Torello Women: Alice Gillan vs Esther Lopez Alcaraz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Alice Gillan
    Won
    Alice Gillan
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Alice Gillan+$2,887.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Esther Lopez Alcaraz-$2,601.37
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Alice Gillan+$220.16

  • Will 200 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$15.86
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$0.90
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes-$213

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No-$62.93
    • A
      TunSahurLast traded
      No-$96.18
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No-$72.72

  • Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Felix Balshaw vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Won
    Aleksandar Kovacevic
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$604.03
    • S
      rushiyaLast traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$324.29
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Aleksandar Kovacevic+$181.87

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will fewer than 160 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    95%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    12
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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