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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Banzai (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vitalem Aerem
    Won
    Vitalem Aerem
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$412.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$238.31
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes-$15.34

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Klim Sani4
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Madhurima Sawant vs Angella Okutoyi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Angella Okutoyi
    Won
    Angella Okutoyi
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Madhurima Sawant-$1,227.52
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Madhurima Sawant-$15.43
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Angella Okutoyi+$4.55

  • Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$157.35
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes+$5.07
    • A
      0x9506…1c4fLast traded
      No+$95.98

  • Exact Score: Valencia CF 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$9.37
    • A
      0xb6fe…7394Last traded
      Yes-$129.17
    • A
      1881aaLast traded
      Yes+$6.37

  • Counter-Strike: Isurus vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ODDIK
    Won
    ODDIK
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$31.28
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$11.46
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$10.16

  • LoL: Fuego vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Zeu5 Esports
    Won
    Zeu5 Esports
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      No-$84.80
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      Yes-$12.07
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$82.38

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Roman Safiullin vs Hugo Grenier

    No consensus

    Tennis

    Won
    Hugo Grenier
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Delhi Premier League: Purani Dilli 6 vs East Delhi Riders

    Right

    Cricket

    Called
    East Delhi Riders
    Won
    East Delhi Riders
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Philadelphia: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Volynets

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Katie Volynets
    Won
    Katie Volynets
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Murkel Dellien

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Benito Sanchez Martinez
    Won
    Benito Sanchez Martinez
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    79%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Osters IF win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$764.72
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$360
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$227.68

  • Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Liv Boulard vs Cristina Pescucci

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Liv Boulard
    Won
    Liv Boulard
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$524.04
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$457.87
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$401.95

  • Kingston 2: Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbes

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Aidan Mayo
    Won
    Aidan Mayo
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Trieste Women: Carolina Dibenedetto vs Maria Andrienko

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maria Andrienko
    Won
    Maria Andrienko
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Maria Andrienko+$1,075.18
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Carolina Dibenedetto-$1,023.76
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Maria Andrienko+$27.66

  • Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    LASK Linz
    Won
    LASK Linz
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: Oliver Bonding vs Viktor Durasovic

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oliver Bonding
    Won
    Oliver Bonding
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF W35 Verbier 2 Women: Olga Danilova vs Michaela Bayerlova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Olga Danilova
    Won
    Olga Danilova
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Michaela Bayerlova-$1,659.88
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Olga Danilova+$1,117.94
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Olga Danilova+$201.55

  • Counter-Strike: Revise vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Revise
    Won
    Revise
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Lausanne Men: Lorenzo Carboni vs Arthur Bellegy

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lorenzo Carboni
    Won
    Lorenzo Carboni
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arthur Bellegy-$697.67
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Arthur Bellegy-$110.95
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      Lorenzo Carboni+$107.02

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SPARTA
    Won
    SPARTA
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    13
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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