Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    K27
    Won
    K27
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Veronika Podrez
    Won
    Veronika Podrez
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Veronika Podrez+$3,627.10
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Veronika Podrez+$2,425.34
    • A
      Elaran1993Last traded
      Caroline Dolehide-$30,994.37

  • Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Petra Marcinko
    Won
    Alycia Parks
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cardiff City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$6,893.64
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$1,054.08
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$882.80

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Lotte Giants
    Won
    Kia Tigers
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sweaty-ClawLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$284.55
    • S
      antecLast traded
      INTZ e-Sports-$221.23
    • S
      arm1337Last traded
      INTZ e-Sports-$110.07

  • FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Under+$1,385.51
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$1,211.53
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$183.73

  • Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Susan Bandecchi
    Won
    Susan Bandecchi
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      No-$444.32
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$406.55
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$340.07

  • Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Synapse
    Won
    Team Synapse
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Won
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Isurus vs ODDIK - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ODDIK
    Won
    ODDIK
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$94.35
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Up-$68.90
    • S
      gsdgsf3Last traded
      Up-$54.36

  • Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Just Players
    Won
    Just Players
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • A
      neo7777Last traded
      No-$165.50
    • A
      opopv3Last traded
      Yes+$151.26
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No-$130.47

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up+$152.54
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Down-$114.85
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$89.22

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      gollazaLast traded
      Yes-$397.89
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$244.17
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$210

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    15
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Dolehide (-1.5) vs Podrez (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Podrez
    Won
    Podrez
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Podrez+$7,130.57
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Podrez+$1,187.68
    • S
      mishipolisLast traded
      Podrez+$298.92

  • Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremska

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Dayana Yastremska
    Won
    Janice Tjen
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 160.5

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Lola Radivojevic vs Kajsa Rinaldo Persson

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Lola Radivojevic
    Won
    Lola Radivojevic
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    San Diego Padres
    Won
    San Diego Padres
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Kingston 2: Paul Jubb vs Rodrigo Pacheco

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Rodrigo Pacheco
    Won
    Rodrigo Pacheco
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Rodrigo Pacheco+$833.93
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Rodrigo Pacheco+$579
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Rodrigo Pacheco+$352.10

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. SSG Landers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    SSG Landers
    Won
    SSG Landers
    Profitable wallets
    14
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs