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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,234.41
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$1,148.07
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Over+$625.71

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Leo Team
    Won
    Leo Team
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Spartans EU
    Won
    Spartans EU
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    78%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Michael Antonius vs Henry Searle

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Antonius
    Won
    Michael Antonius
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Texas Rangers
    Won
    Texas Rangers
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Chicago White Sox-$723.47
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Texas Rangers+$5.72
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Texas Rangers+$0.91

  • Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$1,989.63
    • S
      Zealous-ViolenceLast traded
      Under-$799.80
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Under-$634.88

  • Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesana

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Daniel Altmaier
    Won
    Daniel Altmaier
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Daniel Altmaier+$780
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Daniel Altmaier+$780
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Daniel Altmaier+$104.72

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Astra Sharma

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Astra Sharma
    Won
    Yeon-Woo Ku
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Kristina Penickova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Kristina Penickova
    Won
    Kristina Penickova
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chunichi Dragons vs. Hanshin Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chunichi Dragons
    Won
    Chunichi Dragons
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Chunichi Dragons+$1,939.09
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Hanshin Tigers-$962.07
    • S
      ghostorderLast traded
      Hanshin Tigers-$253.90

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Harmony Tan vs Mary Stoiana

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Mary Stoiana
    Won
    Mary Stoiana
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nemiga - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    1WIN
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Soon-Woo Kwon vs. Dusan Lajovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over 2.5
    Won
    Over 2.5
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Kaleido Gaming vs Just Swing (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #1 Playoffs

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Kaleido Gaming
    Won
    Just Swing
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      arm1337Last traded
      INTZ e-Sports-$1,159.15
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      INTZ e-Sports-$217.50
    • S
      redfox666Last traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars Academy+$25.30

  • Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bounty Hunters Esports
    Won
    Bounty Hunters Esports
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Francesca Jones vs Nuria Brancaccio

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Nuria Brancaccio
    Won
    Francesca Jones
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Minnesota Twins
    Won
    Minnesota Twins
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Athletics-$671.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Athletics-$482.40
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Minnesota Twins-$348.63

  • Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Over-$1,020
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Over-$1,020
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$74.98

  • Kingston 2: Alex Hernandez vs Paulo Dos Santos

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Paulo Dos Santos
    Won
    Paulo Dos Santos
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$1,509.22
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,035.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$184.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Keyd - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Keyd
    Won
    Keyd
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    16
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

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