Skip to content
Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Atlanta Dream
    Won
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$14,051.72
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,608.14
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$2,459.78

  • Augsburg: Facundo Mena vs Max Hans Rehberg

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Max Hans Rehberg
    Won
    Facundo Mena
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    BET-M 33
    Won
    ex-RUBY
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,116.46
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$461.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$388.04

  • Augsburg: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Martin Krumich

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Martin Krumich
    Won
    Martin Krumich
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Martin Krumich+$691.72
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Martin Krumich+$557.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Martin Krumich+$466.61

  • LoL: MAGAZA vs Lenovo Legion Honvéd (BO5) - EBL Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Won
    Lenovo Legion Honvéd
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs Peladona (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Peladona
    Won
    Peladona
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,620.44
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$739.41
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$690

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Clement Chidekh vs Federico Coria

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Federico Coria
    Won
    Clement Chidekh
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Federico Coria-$427.54
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Federico Coria-$238.74
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Federico Coria-$111.06

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Zdenek Kolar vs Borna Gojo

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Borna Gojo
    Won
    Borna Gojo
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: The Bandits vs Dynasty - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Dynasty
    Won
    Dynasty
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Dynasty+$181.02
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Dynasty+$97.37
    • S
      redfox666Last traded
      Dynasty+$23.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Anna Siskova vs Noma Noha Akugue

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Anna Siskova
    Won
    Anna Siskova
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$242.07
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$160.41
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down-$110.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$206.72
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$200
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$182.45

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    18
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Jenson Brooksby
    Won
    Stefanos Tsitsipas
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Jenson Brooksby-$18,551.58
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      Jenson Brooksby-$1,009.26
    • S
      ic4creamLast traded
      Jenson Brooksby-$67.21

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes+$1,348.31
    • S
      PoligarchLast traded
      No-$250.09
    • S
      curieLast traded
      Yes-$60.61

  • Philadelphia: Julia Grabher vs Ashlyn Krueger

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Julia Grabher
    Won
    Julia Grabher
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Julia Grabher+$4,142.92
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Julia Grabher+$1,248.90
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Julia Grabher+$177.57

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Chicago Cubs
    Won
    Chicago Cubs
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Chicago Cubs+$5,239.76
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Chicago Cubs+$842.74
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Chicago Cubs+$759.57

  • Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Won
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    62%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$682.52
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$573.44
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      NEC-$499.76

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Storm Hunter vs Maddison Inglis

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Storm Hunter
    Won
    Storm Hunter
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs Michael Geerts

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Michael Geerts
    Won
    Jay Dylan Friend
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    82%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Roehampton 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Oliver Tarvet

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Oliver Tarvet
    Won
    Oliver Tarvet
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$434.70
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$357.03
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Oliver Tarvet+$117.86

  • Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs summer bear - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Klim Sani4
    Won
    Klim Sani4
    Profitable wallets
    17
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Sisyphus-Last traded
      Klim Sani4+$355.98
    • S
      RandomGameBetLast traded
      summer bear-$50.34
    • S
      CoinTrickLast traded
      Klim Sani4+$0.95

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 24,885 more positions across 2,206 markets on this day.

Upgrade to Pro · $99/moabout $3.30/day
Developer docs