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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • FK Bodø/Glimt vs. NEC: Team to Advance

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Won
    FK Bodø/Glimt
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$186.19
    • S
      KnightDasCapitalLast traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$134.75
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      FK Bodø/Glimt+$30.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Stoke City FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$5,955.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$4,651.50
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under+$1,531.12

  • Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Bucheon FC 1995
    Won
    Bucheon FC 1995
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Angels

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Los Angeles Angels
    Won
    Cleveland Guardians
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$798.72
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Los Angeles Angels-$621.66
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Cleveland Guardians+$511.89

  • Philadelphia: Anastasia Zakharova vs Kylie Collins

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Anastasia Zakharova
    Won
    Kylie Collins
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Anastasia Zakharova-$10,455.07
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Kylie Collins+$8,538.31
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Anastasia Zakharova-$4,014.13

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Joanna Garland
    Won
    Joanna Garland
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Joanna Garland+$4,016.37
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Joanna Garland+$1,085.49
    • S
      thestingsnakeLast traded
      Leyre Romero Gormaz-$230.71

  • Jeju SK FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Drip Too Hard vs Just Players - Map 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Drip Too Hard
    Won
    Drip Too Hard
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Dota 2: Inner Circle vs FTS - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Inner Circle
    Won
    Inner Circle
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?

    Wrong

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      opopv.Last traded
      Yes-$61.71
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$22.26
    • A
      ShyGuy1Last traded
      Yes-$71.07

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 5.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$332.64
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$311.91
    • S
      n.magaLast traded
      Under+$92.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Zsombor Piros vs Max Alcala Gurri

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Zsombor Piros
    Won
    Zsombor Piros
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$421.19
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$154.62
    • S
      asdaefefLast traded
      Down+$48.73

  • US Open, Qualification WTA: Jordyn Hazelitt vs Harriet Dart

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Harriet Dart
    Won
    Harriet Dart
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Color vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Color
    Won
    Color
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$7,065.12
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Over+$1,979.03
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over+$878.22

  • Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$2,286.39
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$800
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$751.76

  • LoL: PCIFIC vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    SU Esports
    Won
    SU Esports
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      SU Esports+$240.60
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      SU Esports+$152.29
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      SU Esports+$69.08

  • Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$2,077.22
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,313.92
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$639.19

  • FC Seoul vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Arthur Gea
    Won
    Arthur Gea
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Arthur Gea-$4,088.48
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Arthur Gea+$286.09
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Sumit Nagal-$100.85

  • ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Haruka Kaji vs Amandine Hesse

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Haruka Kaji
    Won
    Haruka Kaji
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Haruka Kaji+$3,189.34
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Amandine Hesse-$1,758.35
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Haruka Kaji+$124.38

  • Carbajal vs. Cosano: Match O/U 22.5

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      tetraseLast traded
      Over+$4,400.04
    • S
      Dull-FluteLast traded
      Over+$1,500
    • S
      StavensonLast traded
      Under-$1,200

  • Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Washington Nationals
    Won
    Washington Nationals
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$556.51
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$543.85
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$514.40

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Boyer

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Andre Ilagan
    Won
    Andre Ilagan
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Andre Ilagan+$853.17
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Andre Ilagan+$470.54
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Andre Ilagan+$350.15

  • Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Atlanta Dream
    Won
    Los Angeles Sparks
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-24?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Augsburg: Marvin Moeller vs Thomas Faurel

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Marvin Moeller
    Won
    Marvin Moeller
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      flatbarrelLast traded
      Thomas Faurel-$885.30
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Marvin Moeller+$451.87
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Marvin Moeller+$340.44

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      easyclapLast traded
      Yes+$1,187.70
    • S
      TokorLast traded
      Yes+$72.24
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      Yes+$1.36

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      scottiliciousLast traded
      Yes+$46.55
    • A
      i2dtLast traded
      Yes+$197.37
    • A
      nicoco89Last traded
      No-$133.60

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    19
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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