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Resolution reportTuesday, August 25, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
79%
2,095 right573 wrong

All wallets: 89% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
17,231
No consensus
14,563

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 8,267 provider closure; 8,964 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    70%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Maribor Men: Matic Dimic vs Valeriy Martishev

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Matic Dimic
    Won
    Matic Dimic
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Valeriy Martishev-$62.67
    • A
      kitopesivanLast traded
      Matic Dimic+$32.59
    • A
      0xbfD770B7ff0Last traded
      Matic Dimic+$23.62

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Won
    ex-MIBR Academy
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    85%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      curieLast traded
      No+$1.86
    • A
      fildoroLast traded
      No+$28.30
    • A
      sailor82Last traded
      No+$4.33

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-4.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Golden State Valkyries
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      AnonymousUsernameLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$167.05
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Minnesota Lynx-$68.68
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries+$47.61

  • Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 25, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • US Open, Qualification ATP: Jerome Kym vs Dan Added

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Jerome Kym
    Won
    Jerome Kym
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Dan Added-$691.63
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Jerome Kym+$500.97
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Jerome Kym+$233.81

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    84%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will North Sunshine Eagles FC win on 2026-08-25?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on August 25?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Set Handicap: Wang (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Maneiro
    Won
    Maneiro
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Orebro SK vs. Varbergs BoIS: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$90.86
    • S
      jack.jrLast traded
      Over+$11.83
    • S
      ARocky33Last traded
      Over+$3.96

  • Exact Score: Sabah FK 3 - 3 MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$73.75
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$9.15
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes-$4.23

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 25?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 24?

    Right

    Weather

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Solana Up or Down - August 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Carles Cordoba vs Sergi Fita Juan

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Sergi Fita Juan
    Won
    Carles Cordoba
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sergi Fita Juan-$1,746.42
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Sergi Fita Juan-$194.70
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Sergi Fita Juan-$112.79

  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    8
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    7
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

14,474 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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