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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$188.72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$184.52
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$130.05

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    36%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$452.33
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$124.49
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up-$88.79

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Le Mans FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      Under-$14,209.28
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$5,097.56
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Under-$1,030

  • Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$12,556.04
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$9,271.66
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$3,626.63

  • Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    100%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Ryan Seggerman

    Wrong

    Tennis

    Called
    Ryan Seggerman
    Won
    Abedallah Shelbayh
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Ryan Seggerman-$12,979.76
    • S
      Substantial-ServiceLast traded
      Abedallah Shelbayh+$4,296.02
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Ryan Seggerman-$1,429.29

  • Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$493.05
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$468.81
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$246.48

  • Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      No+$540.50
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$537.25
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$333.92

  • Panthers vs. Jaguars

    Wrong

    NFL

    Called
    Jaguars
    Won
    Panthers
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up+$3,004.29
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$325.85
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$217.04

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • UFC Fight Night: Elise Reed vs. Shanelle Dyer (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)

    Right

    MMA

    Called
    Shanelle Dyer
    Won
    Shanelle Dyer
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      elmcap2Last traded
      Shanelle Dyer+$900
    • S
      GamblingOdysseyLast traded
      Shanelle Dyer+$568.23
    • S
      4751346Last traded
      Shanelle Dyer+$122.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    28
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Shifters
    Won
    Fnatic
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$8,125.85
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$4,080.68
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$1,042.79

  • Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up+$1,912.35
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up+$367.82
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$318.52

  • Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      No+$3,535.43
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Yes-$1,463.46
    • S
      balthazarLast traded
      No+$365.27

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$412.87
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$184.65
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$152.82

  • LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    GAM Esports
    Won
    GAM Esports
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bills vs. Browns

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Bills
    Won
    Bills
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    27
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    87%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$12,534.19
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$6,344.46
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$2,708.99

  • Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Nemesis
    Won
    Team Nemesis
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No+$2,687.67
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      No+$1,141.11
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$816.74

  • Will Vietnam win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$3,665.52
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No-$1,111.80
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No-$733.48

  • Will Derby County FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Yes-$2,248.97
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,330.51
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$887.60

  • Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Nemiga
    Won
    Nemiga
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$2,214.31
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$1,952.10
    • S
      ZaiZoiBeleLast traded
      Under+$495.29

  • Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    15%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$7,081.97
    • S
      youngwhaleLast traded
      Leviatan Esports-$166.58
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$123.80

  • West Ham United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Bushido Wildcats
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$162.02
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$154.34
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$134.22

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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