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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    77%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    26
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$8,058.32
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$5,188.14
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes-$2,513.41

  • Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Solana reach $100 in August?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Last traded
      Yes+$5,462.70
    • S
      coinman2Last traded
      Yes+$2,695.53
    • S
      Sharky6999Last traded
      No-$427.81

  • Quebec City: Taro Daniel vs Jacob Fearnley

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Taro Daniel
    Won
    Taro Daniel
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ONSIDE GAMING
    Won
    ONSIDE GAMING
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Felix Balshaw vs Luca Pow

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Felix Balshaw
    Won
    Felix Balshaw
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 2.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    89%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Caribbean Premier League: St. Lucia Kings vs Jamaica Kingsmen

    No consensus

    Cricket

    Won
    St. Lucia Kings
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      St. Lucia Kings+$3,083.44
    • S
      Vigilant-EnvironmentLast traded
      St. Lucia Kings+$3,073.90
    • S
      02-Last traded
      Jamaica Kingsmen-$917.87

  • Will OGC Nice vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?

    No consensus

    Soccer

    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$3,913.81
    • S
      6kke1tLast traded
      No-$707.66
    • S
      wapolLast traded
      No-$363.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    1WIN
    Won
    1WIN
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    34%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    90%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$76.33
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$66.46
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$46.39

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    25
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries-$7,920.04
    • S
      SunlineTickerLast traded
      Golden State Valkyries-$7,289.76
    • S
      sportmaster777Last traded
      Golden State Valkyries-$3,360

  • Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AC Monza
    Won
    FC Internazionale Milano
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NooseracLast traded
      AC Monza-$11,720.33
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      AC Monza-$9,542.88
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      AC Monza-$3,658.46

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,511.07
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$3,793.49
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$1,307.25

  • Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      Polkadot-FrogLast traded
      Down+$155.16
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$109.95
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$65.56

  • Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Li Tu vs Quinn Vandecasteele

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Quinn Vandecasteele
    Won
    Quinn Vandecasteele
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    24
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: 5star vs Kaleido Gaming (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group B

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Kaleido Gaming
    Won
    5star
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$7,773.47
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$1,515.05
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over-$1,467.52

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    91%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$193.80
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$108
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$96.31

  • Club León FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,902.16
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Under+$436.26
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$203.28

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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