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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$252.78
    • S
      ohioismLast traded
      Up+$107.09
    • S
      Agile-SpacingLast traded
      Down-$77.20

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up+$1,375.21
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$268.09
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$78.69

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up-$254
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$66.55
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$53.02

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Up-$311.10
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Down+$216.96
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$202.59

  • Monterrey Open, Qualification: Caroline Werner vs Darja Vidmanova

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Darja Vidmanova
    Won
    Darja Vidmanova
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: University of Mississippi vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Winthrop University
    Won
    Winthrop University
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      THEHIGHLIFELast traded
      University of Mississippi-$566.27
    • S
      newwmanLast traded
      Winthrop University+$228.70
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Winthrop University+$73.16

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    23
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Tampa Bay Rays
    Won
    Baltimore Orioles
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    59%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$5,141.47
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$3,840
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Tampa Bay Rays-$1,701.30

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$4,234.37
    • S
      retarbLast traded
      Yes+$1,136.50
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$754.47

  • Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Golden State Valkyries
    Won
    Chicago Sky
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes+$1,543.59
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$1,420.35
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes+$1,360.11

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    52%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Won
    ex-Zero Tenacity
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 0.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under-$448.57
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$295.71
    • S
      Hard-IroncladLast traded
      Over+$149.94

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    93%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    42%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    22
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)

    Wrong

    WNBA

    Called
    Washington Mystics
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    50%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Washington Mystics-$4,557.61
    • S
      sportmaster777Last traded
      Washington Mystics-$3,182
    • S
      Bagwell306Last traded
      Washington Mystics-$2,500

  • Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$1,863.51
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,190
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      Yes+$1,165.75

  • Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$3,235.71
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Under+$1,106.62
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under+$745.49

  • Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)

    Right

    WNBA

    Called
    Minnesota Lynx
    Won
    Minnesota Lynx
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    38%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No+$2,518.49
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$510
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$510

  • Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    56%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      justdanceLast traded
      Up-$2,724.33
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$206.71
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$191.40

  • Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

    Wrong

    Esports

    Called
    Bushido Wildcats
    Won
    Benched gods
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Packers vs. Broncos

    Right

    NFL

    Called
    Packers
    Won
    Packers
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes-$686.43
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$429.56
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$178.65

  • Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pegula
    Won
    Pegula
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?

    Right

    Geopolitics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    FUT Esports
    Won
    FUT Esports
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    44%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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