Skip to content
Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    49%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$147.49
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$144.44
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$122.61
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$1,060.24
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      Yes-$964.70
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$847.91
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    80%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$88.38
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Up+$50
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$38.75
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    83%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    8%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$167.01
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$72
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$72
  • Esports

    Called
    Winthrop University
    Won
    Winthrop University
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      Winthrop University+$187.94
    • S
      antecLast traded
      Winthrop University-$160.16
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      University of Mississippi-$135.74
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$6,087.54
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$5,657.01
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Yes-$594.58
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    21
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    73%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Dplus KIA
    Won
    Dplus KIA
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    55%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    97%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      omnibus-076daaLast traded
      Yes+$7,343.34
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$3,071.30
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Yes+$1,313.43
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    92%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      03-Last traded
      Over+$4,585.42
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,992.40
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Over+$2,454.86
  • Baseball

    Called
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Won
    Pittsburgh Pirates
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$6,180.04
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Pittsburgh Pirates+$4,163.27
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Los Angeles Dodgers-$3,035.69
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Under+$3,159.77
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under+$2,928.39
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,438.57
  • Baseball

    Called
    Toronto Blue Jays
    Won
    New York Yankees
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      ferrariChampions2026Last traded
      New York Yankees+$8,989.05
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Toronto Blue Jays-$2,620.06
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      New York Yankees+$1,472.97
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Baseball

    Called
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Won
    St. Louis Cardinals
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    54%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$2,118.12
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$1,469.95
    • S
      justaluckydudeLast traded
      St. Louis Cardinals+$1,401.90
  • Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over-$2,223.80
    • S
      torta.techLast traded
      Over-$537.56
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Over-$320.39
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 22?

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    88%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Dominic Stephan Stricker
    Won
    Dominic Stephan Stricker
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      TRCMLast traded
      Dominic Stephan Stricker+$2,531.32
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      Benjamin Hassan-$1,709.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Dominic Stephan Stricker+$1,267.12
  • Esports

    Called
    ZETA DIVISION
    Won
    DetonatioN FocusMe
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      igot50kLast traded
      ZETA DIVISION-$470.03
    • S
      trgparkingLast traded
      ZETA DIVISION-$381.66
    • S
      ForAndWithYouLast traded
      DetonatioN FocusMe+$228.56
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    76%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Dhakshineswar Suresh
    Won
    Dhakshineswar Suresh
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    58%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    11%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$1,779.20
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Under-$705.31
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Under-$273.16
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Ethereum Up or Down - August 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$217.87
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Down+$72.77
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$67.68
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Esports

    Called
    Team Envy
    Won
    Team Envy
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Tennis

    Called
    Adrienn Nagy
    Won
    Adrienn Nagy
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    29%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?

    Wrong

    Politics

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    3%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    47%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$174.84
    • S
      gabigolLast traded
      Up+$86.95
    • S
      std0Last traded
      Up+$74.35
  • Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$1,155.19
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      No+$169.73
    • S
      LilybaeumLast traded
      No+$124.63
  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    20
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

Pro opens the full roster: 34,401 more positions across 3,079 markets on this day.