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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$295.95
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$176.14
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$133.22

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$74.74
    • S
      Alpharo28Last traded
      Down+$56.80
    • S
      wqewqaLast traded
      Up-$49.66

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: 1st Half O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    18%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Athletics vs. Houston Astros

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Houston Astros
    Won
    Houston Astros
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Houston Astros+$2,907.06
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      Athletics-$2,350.68
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Athletics-$1,009.34

  • Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    40%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$3,343.84
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$1,050.04
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      No-$527.26

  • Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?

    Right

    Politics

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$432.39
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up-$197.40
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$183.23

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    81%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Genoa CFC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    43%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    31%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$119.32
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$82.63
    • S
      pspspsps5Last traded
      Down+$45.49

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    12%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    31
    Confidence
    41%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5

    Wrong

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Kenta Miyoshi

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Won
    Pierre-Hugues Herbert
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    17%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$6,041.61
    • S
      SnakeBallLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$95.37
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$29.20

  • Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkacz

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Won
    Hubert Hurkacz
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Roman Safiullin-$2,665.37
    • S
      one8tyfiveLast traded
      Hubert Hurkacz+$1,880.99
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Roman Safiullin-$1,460.10

  • Will CSD Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No-$3,551.11
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Yes+$1,033.92
    • S
      FlipadelphiaLast traded
      Yes+$726.67

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    28%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    37%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    30
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5

    Right

    Baseball

    Called
    Under
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    74%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will AZ win on 2026-08-22?

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    48%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MIBR
    Won
    MIBR
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Birmingham City FC vs. Bristol City FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    69%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    61%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$411.74
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$391.67
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$171.88

  • LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MVK Esports
    Won
    MVK Esports
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      frohp5Last traded
      MVK Esports+$152.59
    • S
      pauleta23Last traded
      GAM Esports-$99.41
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      GAM Esports-$42.78

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down+$259.06
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$117.78
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$105.92

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$220.87
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$138.98
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$129.82

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    29
    Confidence
    32%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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