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Resolution reportSaturday, August 22, 2026UTC

Which side profitable wallets held on the markets that settled

Every market here has settled. See which calls profitable wallets got right, which they got wrong, and where they split.

Profitable wallets backed the winner
80%
3,098 right785 wrong

All wallets: 88% on the same markets.

No settlement updates pending.

Markets resolved
28,571
No consensus
24,688

How a resolution report is scored

A resolution report scores profitable wallets' positions after markets settle. The daily report for the same date shows the trades before the outcome was known. The leaderboard ranks the traders who get it right on settled P&L.

A wallet's side is the outcome it bought more shares of. All wallets is the same count over every wallet that put $50 or more into the market, one vote each.

Report dates use UTC. Markets are dated by Polymarket's closure time when available, or when 0xinsider first observed the resolution. Provider closure time does not establish chain finalization.

All report markets: 15,221 provider closure; 13,350 first observed.

Grades: today's, which already count how these markets ended. Grade history starts on 20 September 2026.

Markets: every Polymarket market. Reports from 21 October 2026 cover sports and esports only.

Markets with profitable wallets' positions

Every market result with the trader positions on it.

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    72%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    75%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    2%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    35%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    53%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    27%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    35
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Yes
    Won
    Yes
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No-$5,319.26
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      No-$3,804.97
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Yes+$2,489.84

  • LoL: Leviatan Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Won
    Vivo Keyd Stars
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    39%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      bloodmasterLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$4,638.88
    • S
      gaclfzLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$370.21
    • S
      GooooooollllllllllLast traded
      Vivo Keyd Stars+$221.44

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    51%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    66%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down+$141.89
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down-$124.59
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$113.98

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    60%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    7%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    30%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    4%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    24%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$193.50
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up+$175.80
    • S
      ebfliubaLast traded
      Down-$121.73

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    14%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    45%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    21%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    34
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$214.13
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$150
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$94.75

  • Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    Team Liquid
    Won
    Team Liquid
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    46%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Sebastian Gorzny vs Marc Polmans

    Right

    Tennis

    Called
    Sebastian Gorzny
    Won
    Sebastian Gorzny
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    9%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      HomeRunHazardLast traded
      Sebastian Gorzny+$4,320.06
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Sebastian Gorzny+$2,372.13
    • S
      tradecraftLast traded
      Sebastian Gorzny+$1,735.62

  • Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      No+$4,477.16
    • S
      GC-PLast traded
      No+$1,252.33
    • S
      NM-PLast traded
      No+$950

  • Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    64%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    20%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    65%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    67%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$286.05
    • S
      trinity42Last traded
      Down+$224.15
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down+$200.33

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    63%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    57%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up+$103.09
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$96
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$71.48

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    25%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Down-$119.94
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Down-$92.49
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Up-$64.90

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    5%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      NIULAI4Last traded
      Down+$146.12
    • S
      mo-moneyLast traded
      Up-$108.90
    • S
      BonereaperLast traded
      Down+$95.56

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    6%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

    Wrong

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    1%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Down
    Won
    Down
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    22%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

    No consensus

    Crypto

    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    0%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      PBot-6Last traded
      Down-$130.97
    • S
      almachLast traded
      Up+$94
    • S
      0x20d2…e29dLast traded
      Down-$66.03

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    33%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner

    Right

    Esports

    Called
    MVK Esports
    Won
    MVK Esports
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    16%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET

    Right

    Crypto

    Called
    Up
    Won
    Up
    Profitable wallets
    33
    Confidence
    26%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    AC Monza
    Won
    FC Internazionale Milano
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    19%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      AC Monza-$4,080.13
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      AC Monza-$3,646.38
    • S
      sentrioLast traded
      AC Monza-$2,047.07

  • Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-22?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    71%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    No
    Won
    No
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    23%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      No+$7,928.51
    • S
      UpTheBluesLast traded
      Yes-$3,079.87
    • S
      38791873984189Last traded
      No+$1,170.02

  • Hull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5

    Wrong

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Under
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    13%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions

  • Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

    Right

    Soccer

    Called
    Over
    Won
    Over
    Profitable wallets
    32
    Confidence
    10%

    First observed:

    Profitable wallets' positions
    • S
      RN1Last traded
      Over+$2,784.36
    • S
      VeryLucky888Last traded
      Under-$1,717.08
    • S
      CannaeLast traded
      Under-$1,578.88

24,567 other markets resolved with no profitable wallets' positions

Showing the first 3 wallets on each market.

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